Meerbusch U19 2–0 Viktoria Köln U19: Result & Stats

Meerbusch U19

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Viktoria Köln U19

J. Schlotter 66', 53'

2/16/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 3Rasenplatz Lank

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Meerbusch U1928%

×Draw21%

Viktoria Köln U1951%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Meerbusch U19Expected goals in this matchViktoria Köln U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.59

2.20

Meerbusch U19

1.59

Viktoria Köln U19

2.20

Viktoria Köln U19 creates 38% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 66 away

1.21

creates per match

1.47

2.93

allows per match

1.97

creates per match

Meerbusch U19

1.21

Viktoria Köln U19

1.47

allows per match

Meerbusch U19

2.93

Viktoria Köln U19

1.97

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Meerbusch U19+0.00on par

Viktoria Köln U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over73
Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes71
No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Meerbusch U19 ↓

Viktoria Köln U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–15%

0–26%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–04%

1–18%

1–29%

1–36%

1–44%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–27%

2–35%

2–43%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–24%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

73%27%3.5

52%48%4.5

32%68%

Double chance

Meerbusch U19 or draw

49%

Meerbusch U19 or Viktoria Köln U19

79%

Draw or Viktoria Köln U19

72%

Winning margin

Meerbusch U19 wins by 2+

13%

Viktoria Köln U19 wins by 2+

31%

Team goals

Meerbusch U19 1+ goals

80%

Meerbusch U19 2+ goals

47%

Meerbusch U19 3+ goals

21%

Viktoria Köln U19 1+ goals

89%

Viktoria Köln U19 2+ goals

64%

Viktoria Köln U19 3+ goals

37%

Draw no bet

Meerbusch U19 (draw refunded)

35%

Viktoria Köln U19 (draw refunded)

65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

63%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Meerbusch U19 at home — creates 1.21, concedes 2.93 · 14 matches

Viktoria Köln U19 away — creates 1.47, concedes 1.97 · 66 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Meerbusch U19 attack 1.21 + Viktoria Köln U19 defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.59

Viktoria Köln U19 attack 1.47 + Meerbusch U19 defence 2.93 → ÷2 → 2.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Meerbusch U19 scores more

28%

level

21%

Viktoria Köln U19 scores more

51%

Viktoria Köln U19 at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Viktoria Köln U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

53'

J. Schlotter

58'

B. Avzii← F. Fricke

64'

G. Amisso← A. Memeti

64'

T. Abessouguie← F. Albers

66'

J. Schlotter

72'

A. M'Boyo← B. Schmitt

72'

D. Perri← P. Köhl

72'

Enrique Pato Rivas← I. Masongele

74'

C. Venos← D. Aserov

83'

K. Mischtal← J. Asamoah

83'

Y. Zeller← J. Schlotter

88'

L. Lahi← Y. El Kandri

Meerbusch

Viktoria

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽2

▼

Schlotter

▼

Asamoah

Manager: M. Roch

74'▲C. Venos←▼D. Aserov

83'▲K. Mischtal←▼J. Asamoah

83'▲Y. Zeller←▼J. Schlotter

88'▲L. Lahi←▼Y. El Kandri

Meerbusch U19 substitutes

VenosMischtalZellerLahiKarakisGrabekBehle

Manager: P. Schiavo

58'▲B. Avzii←▼F. Fricke

64'▲G. Amisso←▼A. Memeti

64'▲T. Abessouguie←▼F. Albers

72'▲A. M'Boyo←▼B. Schmitt

72'▲D. Perri←▼P. Köhl

72'▲Enrique Pato Rivas←▼I. Masongele

Viktoria Köln U19 substitutes

AvziiAmissoAbessouguieM'BoyoPerriRivasHinterkeuser

Match Recap: Meerbusch U19 vs Viktoria Köln U19

Meerbusch U19 beat Viktoria Köln U19 2-0 in U19 Bundesliga on February 16, 2025.

Goals: J. Schlotter (53', 66').

The match was played at Rasenplatz Lank in Meerbusch.

Meerbusch U19 vs Viktoria Köln U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Meerbusch U19 vs Viktoria Köln U19