Vikingur Gota 4–2 B36 Torshavn: Result & Stats

Vikingur Gota

FT

4 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

B36 Torshavn

S. Radosavljevic 61'

J. Nielsen 55', 11'

P. Kallsberg 46'

H. Agnarsson 83'

S. Solheim 43'

8/10/2025

Meistaradeildin · Round 18Sarpugerði

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 102+ matches

Vikingur Gota46%

×Draw23%

B36 Torshavn32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Vikingur GotaExpected goals in this matchB36 Torshavn

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.85

1.51

Vikingur Gota

1.85

B36 Torshavn

1.51

Vikingur Gota creates 23% more chances

Season form · 102 home / 102 away

2.43

creates per match

2.03

1.00

allows per match

1.26

creates per match

Vikingur Gota

2.43

B36 Torshavn

2.03

allows per match

Vikingur Gota

1.00

B36 Torshavn

1.26

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Vikingur Gota+0.00on par

B36 Torshavn+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vikingur Gota ↓

B36 Torshavn →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Vikingur Gota or draw

68%

Vikingur Gota or B36 Torshavn

77%

Draw or B36 Torshavn

54%

Winning margin

Vikingur Gota wins by 2+

25%

B36 Torshavn wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Vikingur Gota 1+ goals

84%

Vikingur Gota 2+ goals

55%

Vikingur Gota 3+ goals

28%

B36 Torshavn 1+ goals

78%

B36 Torshavn 2+ goals

44%

B36 Torshavn 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Vikingur Gota (draw refunded)

59%

B36 Torshavn (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vikingur Gota at home — creates 2.43, concedes 1.00 · 102 matches

B36 Torshavn away — creates 2.03, concedes 1.26 · 102 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vikingur Gota attack 2.43 + B36 Torshavn defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.85

B36 Torshavn attack 2.03 + Vikingur Gota defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.51

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Vikingur Gota scores more

46%

level

23%

B36 Torshavn scores more

32%

Vikingur Gota at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Vikingur Gota will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

11'

J. Nielsen↳ O. Bardarson

43'

S. Solheim

46'

P. Kallsberg

52'

F. Djordjevic

55'

J. Nielsen↳ R. Skala

55'

J. Gullfoss← R. Samuelsen

55'

M. W. Joensen← R. Hansen

55'

F. Djordjevic← F. Djordjevic

61'

S. Radosavljevic↳ I. Jonhardsson

64'

A. Ellingsgaard← A. Atlason

64'

J. Johansen← J. Nielsen

64'

A. Olsen← A. Brandsson

67'

72'

81'

83'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Meistaradeildin: Vikingur Gota 4–2 B36 Torshavn

Vikingur Gota beat B36 Torshavn 4-2 in Meistaradeildin on August 10, 2025.

Goals: J. Nielsen (11', 55'), S. Solheim (43'), P. Kallsberg (46'), S. Radosavljevic (61'), H. Agnarsson (83').

The match was played at Sarpugerði in Norðragøta, Eysturoy.

Vikingur Gota vs B36 Torshavn — Meistaradeildin 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Meistaradeildin: Vikingur Gota 4–2 B36 Torshavn