Viking 5–1 Bryne: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

Viking

FT

5 – 1

HT: 2 – 0

Bryne

N. D'Agostino 89'

P. Christiansen 62', 54'

H. Falchener 45'

M. Roseth 21'

M. Grodem 67'

10/25/2025

Eliteserien · Round 26Lyse Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 11+ matches

Viking58%

×Draw22%

Bryne20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

VikingExpected goals in this matchBryne

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.94

1.03

Viking

1.94

Bryne

1.03

Viking creates 88% more chances

Season form · 27 home / 11 away

2.12

creates per match

0.91

1.16

allows per match

1.76

creates per match

Viking

2.12

Bryne

0.91

allows per match

Viking

1.16

Bryne

1.76

+0.69scores more than expected

finishing

+0.09on par

finishing

Viking+0.69scores more

Bryne+0.09on par

Total goals

Over57
Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viking ↓

Bryne →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–110%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

57%43%3.5

34%66%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Viking or draw

80%

Viking or Bryne

78%

Draw or Bryne

42%

Winning margin

Viking wins by 2+

34%

Bryne wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Viking 1+ goals

86%

Viking 2+ goals

58%

Viking 3+ goals

30%

Bryne 1+ goals

64%

Bryne 2+ goals

28%

Bryne 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Viking (draw refunded)

75%

Bryne (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viking at home — creates 2.12, concedes 1.16 · 27 matches

Bryne away — creates 0.91, concedes 1.76 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viking attack 2.12 + Bryne defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.94

Bryne attack 0.91 + Viking defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Viking scores more

58%

level

22%

Bryne scores more

20%

Viking at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Viking will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

20

P. Christiansen

Viking · F

9.3

Match Events

6'

Magnus Grødem

21'

M. Roseth↳ Z. Tripic

45'

H. Falchener

46'

G. Stensness← M. Roseth

50'

Edvin Austbø

54'

P. Christiansen↳ E. Austbo

58'

H. J. Haugen← E. Austbo

62'

C. Landu-Landu← L. Sodal

62'

D. Gaye← L. Qvigstad

62'

D. Moreira← H. Larsen

62'

P. Christiansen↳ Z. Tripic

67'

M. Grodem↳ D. Moreira

69'

H. Heggheim← S. Bjorshol

69'

J. Hansen← J. Bell

70'

N. D'Agostino← Z. Tripic

79'

J. Tveita← S. Bojadzic

83'

K. Haland← M. Grodem

89'

N. D'Agostino↳ S. Kvia-Egeskog

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

VikingBryne

Overview

51%Possession49%

13Total Shots9

2.13Expected Goals (xG)0.70

5Corners4

8Fouls13

Shots

13Total Shots9

9On Target3

3Off Target5

1Blocked1

11Inside Box5

2Outside Box4

Passing

51%Possession49%

395Total Passes386

310Accurate Passes299

78%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

Discipline

8Fouls13

1Yellow Cards1

3Offsides0

Viking 5 – 1 Bryne

Viking beat Bryne 5-1 in Eliteserien on October 25, 2025.

Goals: M. Roseth (21'), H. Falchener (45'), P. Christiansen (54', 62'), M. Grodem (67'), N. D'Agostino (89').

Viking controlled possession (51%) and registered 13 shots to 9.

The match was played at Lyse Arena in Stavanger.

Viking vs Bryne — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Viking 5 – 1 Bryne