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Bryne vs Viking — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Bryne
Bryne
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Viking
Viking
Unknown 42', 40'
2/16/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Aarbakkebanen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Bryne25%
×Draw22%
Viking52%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bryne
1.29
Viking
1.94

Viking creates 50% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 13 away

creates per match

Bryne
1.13
Viking
2.00

allows per match

Bryne
1.88
Viking
1.46

finishing

Bryne+0.00on par
Viking+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bryne ↓

Viking →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–18%
0–27%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Bryne or draw
48%
Bryne or Viking
78%
Draw or Viking
75%

Winning margin

Bryne wins by 2+
11%
Viking wins by 2+
30%

Team goals

Bryne 1+ goals
72%
Bryne 2+ goals
37%
Bryne 3+ goals
14%
Viking 1+ goals
86%
Viking 2+ goals
58%
Viking 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

Bryne (draw refunded)
33%
Viking (draw refunded)
67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bryne at home — creates 1.13, concedes 1.88 · 8 matches

Viking away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.46 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bryne attack 1.13 + Viking defence 1.46 → ÷2 → 1.29

Viking attack 2.00 + Bryne defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Bryne scores more
25%
level
22%
Viking scores more
52%

Viking at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Viking will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

40'
42'
Bryne
Viking
K. Knappen
Manager: K. Knappen
B. Aarsheim
Manager: B. Aarsheim

Bryne 0 – 2 Viking

Viking beat Bryne 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on February 16, 2023.

Goals: ? (40', 42').

The match was played at Aarbakkebanen in Bryne.