Viking II 5–1 Lysekloster: Result & Stats

Viking II

FT

5 – 1

HT: 2 – 0

Lysekloster

E. Austbø 86', 64'

P. Christiansen 61'

J. Galta 28'

H. Tangen 12'

D. Campher 73'

5/27/2024

2. Division - Group 1 · Group 1 - 8SR-Bank Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Viking II53%

×Draw20%

Lysekloster27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Viking IIExpected goals in this matchLysekloster

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.23

1.56

Viking II

2.23

Lysekloster

1.56

Viking II creates 43% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 32 away

2.54

creates per match

1.59

1.54

allows per match

1.91

creates per match

Viking II

2.54

Lysekloster

1.59

allows per match

Viking II

1.54

Lysekloster

1.91

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Viking II+0.00on par

Lysekloster+0.00on par

Total goals

Over73
Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes70
No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viking II ↓

Lysekloster →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–18%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–17%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–14%

4–23%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

73%27%3.5

52%48%4.5

32%68%

Double chance

Viking II or draw

73%

Viking II or Lysekloster

80%

Draw or Lysekloster

47%

Winning margin

Viking II wins by 2+

32%

Lysekloster wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Viking II 1+ goals

89%

Viking II 2+ goals

65%

Viking II 3+ goals

38%

Lysekloster 1+ goals

79%

Lysekloster 2+ goals

46%

Lysekloster 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Viking II (draw refunded)

66%

Lysekloster (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

62%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viking II at home — creates 2.54, concedes 1.54 · 13 matches

Lysekloster away — creates 1.59, concedes 1.91 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viking II attack 2.54 + Lysekloster defence 1.91 → ÷2 → 2.23

Lysekloster attack 1.59 + Viking II defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Viking II scores more

53%

level

20%

Lysekloster scores more

27%

Viking II at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Viking II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'

H. Tangen

28'

J. Galta

46'

Y. Moula← T. Hildal

46'

J. Lunde← J. Edvardsen

61'

J. Fiksdal← P. Christiansen

61'

N. Fuglestad← H. Tangen

61'

E. Austbø← S. Svendsen

61'

61'

64'

69'

69'

D. Gamachis← H. Andersen

72'

T. Haland

73'

D. Campher

81'

A. Tveiten← T. Håland

81'

J. Kvarven← S. Marthinussen

86'

E. Austbø

90'

J. Eftevaag

90+1'

D. Gamachis

Viking

Lysekloster

1

33

4

5

11

8

▼

Andersen

20

▼

Marthinus

7

▼

Edvardsen

10

Dang

32

▼

Bolsø

21

▼

1

15

3

26

⚽

▼

Tangen

8

Visted

12

Auklend

14

▼

Håland

10

Moi

29

▼

Svendsen

19

⚽

▼

Christian

11

⚽

▼

Galta

Manager: E. Andersen

61'▲J. Fiksdal←▼P. Christiansen

61'▲N. Fuglestad←▼H. Tangen

61'▲E. Austbø←▼S. Svendsen

61'▲J. Hansen←▼J. Galta

81'▲A. Tveiten←▼T. Håland

Viking II substitutes

7Fiksdal21Fuglestad25Austbø20Hansen5Tveiten4Botnen9Larsen13Sola24Taraldset

Manager: R. Hetlevik

46'▲Y. Moula←▼T. Hildal

46'▲J. Lunde←▼J. Edvardsen

69'▲D. Campher←▼J. Bolsø

69'▲D. Gamachis←▼H. Andersen

81'▲J. Kvarven←▼S. Marthinussen

Lysekloster substitutes

13Moula18Lunde9Campher15Gamachis31Kvarven2Rinde6Kamanzi24Hasund92Korneičiks

Match Recap: Viking II vs Lysekloster

Viking II beat Lysekloster 5-1 in 2. Division - Group 1 on May 27, 2024.

Goals: H. Tangen (12'), J. Galta (28'), P. Christiansen (61'), E. Austbø (64', 86'), D. Campher (73').

The match was played at SR-Bank Arena in Stavanger.

Viking II vs Lysekloster — 2. Division - Group 1 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Viking II vs Lysekloster