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Vihor vs Slavonija Požega — League #217 2026

Vihor
Vihor
CANC
15:00
Slavonija Požega
Slavonija Požega
5/2/2020League #217League #217 · East - 26Nogometno igralište Korea Jelisavac

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Vihor37%
×Draw21%
Slavonija Požega42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vihor
1.83
Slavonija Požega
1.95

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 16 home / 7 away

creates per match

Vihor
1.38
Slavonija Požega
2.14

allows per match

Vihor
1.75
Slavonija Požega
2.29

finishing

Vihor+0.00on par
Slavonija Požega+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vihor ↓

Slavonija Požega →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–28%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
52%48%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Vihor or draw
58%
Vihor or Slavonija Požega
79%
Draw or Slavonija Požega
63%

Winning margin

Vihor wins by 2+
19%
Slavonija Požega wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Vihor 1+ goals
84%
Vihor 2+ goals
54%
Vihor 3+ goals
28%
Slavonija Požega 1+ goals
86%
Slavonija Požega 2+ goals
58%
Slavonija Požega 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Vihor (draw refunded)
47%
Slavonija Požega (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vihor at home — creates 1.38, concedes 1.75 · 16 matches

Slavonija Požega away — creates 2.14, concedes 2.29 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vihor attack 1.38 + Slavonija Požega defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 1.83

Slavonija Požega attack 2.14 + Vihor defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Vihor scores more
37%
level
21%
Slavonija Požega scores more
42%

Slavonija Požega at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Slavonija Požega will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Vihor face Slavonija Požega (League #217)

League #217 returns with Vihor hosting Slavonija Požega. Match starts May 2, 2020. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Vihor host Slavonija Požega at Nogometno igralište Korea Jelisavac.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.