Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Vietnam U19 vs Myanmar U19 — AFF U19 Championship 2022

Vietnam U19
Vietnam U19
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Myanmar U19
Myanmar U19
Unknown 70'
Unknown 59'
7/18/2024AFF U19 ChampionshipAFF U19 Championship · Group Stage - 1Stadion Gelora 10 November

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Vietnam U1950%
×Draw23%
Myanmar U1927%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vietnam U19
1.85
Myanmar U19
1.30

Vietnam U19 creates 42% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 5 away

creates per match

Vietnam U19
1.50
Myanmar U19
1.60

allows per match

Vietnam U19
1.00
Myanmar U19
2.20

finishing

Vietnam U19+0.00on par
Myanmar U19+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vietnam U19 ↓

Myanmar U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Vietnam U19 or draw
73%
Vietnam U19 or Myanmar U19
77%
Draw or Myanmar U19
50%

Winning margin

Vietnam U19 wins by 2+
28%
Myanmar U19 wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Vietnam U19 1+ goals
84%
Vietnam U19 2+ goals
55%
Vietnam U19 3+ goals
28%
Myanmar U19 1+ goals
73%
Myanmar U19 2+ goals
37%
Myanmar U19 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Vietnam U19 (draw refunded)
65%
Myanmar U19 (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vietnam U19 at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.00 · 6 matches

Myanmar U19 away — creates 1.60, concedes 2.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vietnam U19 attack 1.50 + Myanmar U19 defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 1.85

Myanmar U19 attack 1.60 + Vietnam U19 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Vietnam U19 scores more
50%
level
23%
Myanmar U19 scores more
27%

Vietnam U19 at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Vietnam U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

59'
70'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

AFF U19 Championship: Vietnam U19 1–1 Myanmar U19

Vietnam U19 and Myanmar U19 drew 1-1 in AFF U19 Championship on July 18, 2024.

Goals: ? (59', 70').

The match was played at Stadion Gelora 10 November in Surabaya.