Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Myanmar U19 vs Vietnam U19 — AFF U19 Championship 2022

Myanmar U19
Myanmar U19
FT
0 – 5
HT: 0 – 2
Vietnam U19
Vietnam U19
T. P. Nguyen 85'
H. K. Tran 63' (pen)
V. B. Nguyen 49'
C. H. Hoang 45+1'
T. D. Le 28'
6/4/2026AFF U19 ChampionshipAFF U19 Championship · Group Stage - 2North Sumatra Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Myanmar U1922%
×Draw18%
Vietnam U1960%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Myanmar U19
1.58
Vietnam U19
2.67

Vietnam U19 creates 69% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Myanmar U19
1.50
Vietnam U19
3.17

allows per match

Myanmar U19
2.17
Vietnam U19
1.67

finishing

Myanmar U19+0.00on par
Vietnam U19+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Myanmar U19 ↓

Vietnam U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–14%
0–25%
0–35%
0–43%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–28%
1–37%
1–45%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–23%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
61%39%4.5
41%59%

Double chance

Myanmar U19 or draw
40%
Myanmar U19 or Vietnam U19
82%
Draw or Vietnam U19
78%

Winning margin

Myanmar U19 wins by 2+
10%
Vietnam U19 wins by 2+
40%

Team goals

Myanmar U19 1+ goals
79%
Myanmar U19 2+ goals
47%
Myanmar U19 3+ goals
21%
Vietnam U19 1+ goals
93%
Vietnam U19 2+ goals
74%
Vietnam U19 3+ goals
49%

Draw no bet

Myanmar U19 (draw refunded)
27%
Vietnam U19 (draw refunded)
73%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
68%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Myanmar U19 at home — creates 1.50, concedes 2.17 · 6 matches

Vietnam U19 away — creates 3.17, concedes 1.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Myanmar U19 attack 1.50 + Vietnam U19 defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.58

Vietnam U19 attack 3.17 + Myanmar U19 defence 2.17 → ÷2 → 2.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Myanmar U19 scores more
22%
level
18%
Vietnam U19 scores more
60%

Vietnam U19 at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Vietnam U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

28'
T. D. Le
45+1'
C. H. Hoang
49'
V. B. Nguyen
63'
H. K. TranPenalty
85'
T. P. Nguyen

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Myanmar U19 0 – 5 Vietnam U19

Vietnam U19 beat Myanmar U19 5-0 in AFF U19 Championship on June 4, 2026.

Goals: T. D. Le (28'), C. H. Hoang (45+1'), V. B. Nguyen (49'), H. K. Tran (63' pen), T. P. Nguyen (85').

The match was played at North Sumatra Stadium in Medan.