Victoria Seelow vs Hansa Rostock II — Oberliga - Nordost-Nord 2020
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 21+ matches
Victoria Seelow19%
Hansa Rostock II63%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Hansa Rostock II creates 90% more chances
Season form · 21 home / 66 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over75
- Under25
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes69
- No31
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Victoria Seelow ↓
Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Victoria Seelow at home — creates 1.10, concedes 2.76 · 21 matches
Hansa Rostock II away — creates 2.39, concedes 1.62 · 66 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Victoria Seelow attack 1.10 + Hansa Rostock II defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.36
Hansa Rostock II attack 2.39 + Victoria Seelow defence 2.76 → ÷2 → 2.58
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 63%?"
Hansa Rostock II at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 63% does not mean "Hansa Rostock II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Tasmania Berlin
LichtenbergHansa Rostock II
Neustrelitz
Union Klosterfelde
Siedenbollentin
Eintracht Mahlsdorf
Anker Wismar
Makkabi
Sparta Lichtenberg
Optik Rathenow
Tennis Borussia
BAK '07
Dynamo Schwerin
Croatia Berlin
Viktoria BerlinIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Victoria Seelow host Hansa Rostock II on Sunday, 29 May 2022 at 12:00. The match is part of the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord 2020/2021 season.
Victoria Seelow face Hansa Rostock II (Oberliga - Nordost-Nord)
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord returns with Victoria Seelow hosting Hansa Rostock II. Match starts May 29, 2022. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.
Victoria Seelow host Hansa Rostock II at Sparkassenarena Stadt Seelow.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.