Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Hansa Rostock II vs Victoria Seelow — Oberliga - Nordost-Nord 2020

Hansa Rostock II
Hansa Rostock II
CANC
12:00
Victoria Seelow
Victoria Seelow
5/2/2021Oberliga - Nordost-NordOberliga - Nordost-Nord · Nordost-Nord - 29Volksstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Hansa Rostock II73%
×Draw15%
Victoria Seelow12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Hansa Rostock II
2.77
Victoria Seelow
1.02

Hansa Rostock II creates 172% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 18 away

creates per match

Hansa Rostock II
2.76
Victoria Seelow
0.89

allows per match

Hansa Rostock II
1.16
Victoria Seelow
2.78

finishing

Hansa Rostock II+0.00on par
Victoria Seelow+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Hansa Rostock II ↓

Victoria Seelow →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–17%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–16%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (9%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Hansa Rostock II or draw
88%
Hansa Rostock II or Victoria Seelow
85%
Draw or Victoria Seelow
27%

Winning margin

Hansa Rostock II wins by 2+
52%
Victoria Seelow wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Hansa Rostock II 1+ goals
94%
Hansa Rostock II 2+ goals
76%
Hansa Rostock II 3+ goals
51%
Victoria Seelow 1+ goals
64%
Victoria Seelow 2+ goals
27%
Victoria Seelow 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Hansa Rostock II (draw refunded)
86%
Victoria Seelow (draw refunded)
14%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Hansa Rostock II at home — creates 2.76, concedes 1.16 · 67 matches

Victoria Seelow away — creates 0.89, concedes 2.78 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Hansa Rostock II attack 2.76 + Victoria Seelow defence 2.78 → ÷2 → 2.77

Victoria Seelow attack 0.89 + Hansa Rostock II defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

Hansa Rostock II scores more
73%
level
15%
Victoria Seelow scores more
12%

Hansa Rostock II at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "Hansa Rostock II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Hansa Rostock II vs Victoria Seelow — Match Preview

Hansa Rostock II face Victoria Seelow on May 2, 2021 in this Oberliga - Nordost-Nord fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Hansa Rostock II host Victoria Seelow at Volksstadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.