Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Victoria Bardar vs FC Stăuceni — Super Liga 2026

Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
FT
0 – 1
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
3/8/2025Super LigaSuper Liga · Promotion Group - 1Joma Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Victoria Bardar52%
×Draw21%
FC Stăuceni27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Victoria Bardar
2.15
FC Stăuceni
1.49

Victoria Bardar creates 44% more chances

Season form · 21 home / 11 away

creates per match

Victoria Bardar
2.29
FC Stăuceni
1.36

allows per match

Victoria Bardar
1.62
FC Stăuceni
2.00

finishing

Victoria Bardar+0.00on par
FC Stăuceni+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Victoria Bardar ↓

FC Stăuceni →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Victoria Bardar or draw
73%
Victoria Bardar or FC Stăuceni
79%
Draw or FC Stăuceni
48%

Winning margin

Victoria Bardar wins by 2+
31%
FC Stăuceni wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Victoria Bardar 1+ goals
88%
Victoria Bardar 2+ goals
63%
Victoria Bardar 3+ goals
36%
FC Stăuceni 1+ goals
77%
FC Stăuceni 2+ goals
44%
FC Stăuceni 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Victoria Bardar (draw refunded)
66%
FC Stăuceni (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Victoria Bardar at home — creates 2.29, concedes 1.62 · 21 matches

FC Stăuceni away — creates 1.36, concedes 2.00 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Victoria Bardar attack 2.29 + FC Stăuceni defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.15

FC Stăuceni attack 1.36 + Victoria Bardar defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.49

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Victoria Bardar scores more
52%
level
21%
FC Stăuceni scores more
27%

Victoria Bardar at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Victoria Bardar will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Victoria
FC
A. Novicov
Manager: A. Novicov
I. Țîgîrlaș
Manager: I. Țîgîrlaș

Match Recap: Victoria Bardar vs FC Stăuceni

FC Stăuceni beat Victoria Bardar 1-0 in Super Liga on March 8, 2025.

The match was played at Joma Arena in Chişinău.