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VfL Osnabruck vs Hannover 96 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

VfL Osnabruck
VfL Osnabruck
CANC
14:00
Hannover 96
Hannover 96
7/2/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Bremer Brücke

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

VfL Osnabruck21%
×Draw16%
Hannover 9662%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

VfL Osnabruck
1.92
Hannover 96
3.23

Hannover 96 creates 68% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

VfL Osnabruck
3.00
Hannover 96
3.67

allows per match

VfL Osnabruck
2.80
Hannover 96
0.83

finishing

VfL Osnabruck+0.00on par
Hannover 96+0.00on par

Total goals

88%Over
  • Over88
  • Under12

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

82%Yes
  • Yes82
  • No18

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

VfL Osnabruck ↓

Hannover 96 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–23%
0–33%
0–43%
1
1–01%
1–14%
1–26%
1–37%
1–45%
2
2–01%
2–14%
2–26%
2–36%
2–45%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–24%
3–34%
3–43%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–22%
4–32%
4–42%

Most likely 1–3 (7%) · grid covers 78% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
96%4%2.5
88%12%3.5
74%26%4.5
56%44%

Double chance

VfL Osnabruck or draw
38%
VfL Osnabruck or Hannover 96
84%
Draw or Hannover 96
79%

Winning margin

VfL Osnabruck wins by 2+
10%
Hannover 96 wins by 2+
43%

Team goals

VfL Osnabruck 1+ goals
85%
VfL Osnabruck 2+ goals
57%
VfL Osnabruck 3+ goals
30%
Hannover 96 1+ goals
96%
Hannover 96 2+ goals
82%
Hannover 96 3+ goals
61%

Draw no bet

VfL Osnabruck (draw refunded)
26%
Hannover 96 (draw refunded)
74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
78%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

VfL Osnabruck at home — creates 3.00, concedes 2.80 · 5 matches

Hannover 96 away — creates 3.67, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

VfL Osnabruck attack 3.00 + Hannover 96 defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.92

Hannover 96 attack 3.67 + VfL Osnabruck defence 2.80 → ÷2 → 3.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

VfL Osnabruck scores more
21%
level
16%
Hannover 96 scores more
62%

Hannover 96 at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Hannover 96 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: VfL Osnabruck host Hannover 96

July 2, 2022: VfL Osnabruck take on Hannover 96 in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

VfL Osnabruck host Hannover 96 at Bremer Brücke.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.