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Veertien Mie vs Sony Sendai — League #497 2026

Veertien Mie
Veertien Mie
FT
1 – 1
Sony Sendai
Sony Sendai
9/14/2024League #497League #497 · Round 20Toin-cho Sports Park Athletics Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Veertien Mie32%
×Draw24%
Sony Sendai44%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Veertien Mie
1.34
Sony Sendai
1.60

Sony Sendai creates 19% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 7 away

creates per match

Veertien Mie
1.25
Sony Sendai
1.71

allows per match

Veertien Mie
1.50
Sony Sendai
1.43

finishing

Veertien Mie+0.00on par
Sony Sendai+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Veertien Mie ↓

Sony Sendai →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Veertien Mie or draw
56%
Veertien Mie or Sony Sendai
76%
Draw or Sony Sendai
68%

Winning margin

Veertien Mie wins by 2+
14%
Sony Sendai wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Veertien Mie 1+ goals
74%
Veertien Mie 2+ goals
39%
Veertien Mie 3+ goals
15%
Sony Sendai 1+ goals
80%
Sony Sendai 2+ goals
47%
Sony Sendai 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Veertien Mie (draw refunded)
42%
Sony Sendai (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Veertien Mie at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.50 · 8 matches

Sony Sendai away — creates 1.71, concedes 1.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Veertien Mie attack 1.25 + Sony Sendai defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.34

Sony Sendai attack 1.71 + Veertien Mie defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Veertien Mie scores more
32%
level
24%
Sony Sendai scores more
44%

Sony Sendai at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Sony Sendai will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Veertien Mie vs Sony Sendai

Veertien Mie and Sony Sendai drew 1-1 in League #497 on September 14, 2024.

The match was played at Toin-cho Sports Park Athletics Stadium in Toin.