Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Sony Sendai vs Veertien Mie — League #497 2026

Sony Sendai
Sony Sendai
FT
1 – 1
Veertien Mie
Veertien Mie
10/29/2023League #497League #497 · Round 26Miyagi Grand Stadium B-Ground

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Sony Sendai49%
×Draw21%
Veertien Mie30%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Sony Sendai
2.13
Veertien Mie
1.63

Sony Sendai creates 31% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 8 away

creates per match

Sony Sendai
2.13
Veertien Mie
1.63

allows per match

Sony Sendai
1.63
Veertien Mie
2.13

finishing

Sony Sendai+0.00on par
Veertien Mie+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sony Sendai ↓

Veertien Mie →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Sony Sendai or draw
70%
Sony Sendai or Veertien Mie
79%
Draw or Veertien Mie
51%

Winning margin

Sony Sendai wins by 2+
29%
Veertien Mie wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Sony Sendai 1+ goals
88%
Sony Sendai 2+ goals
63%
Sony Sendai 3+ goals
35%
Veertien Mie 1+ goals
80%
Veertien Mie 2+ goals
48%
Veertien Mie 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Sony Sendai (draw refunded)
62%
Veertien Mie (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sony Sendai at home — creates 2.13, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Veertien Mie away — creates 1.63, concedes 2.13 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sony Sendai attack 2.13 + Veertien Mie defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 2.13

Veertien Mie attack 1.63 + Sony Sendai defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Sony Sendai scores more
49%
level
21%
Veertien Mie scores more
30%

Sony Sendai at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Sony Sendai will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #497: Sony Sendai 1–1 Veertien Mie

Sony Sendai and Veertien Mie drew 1-1 in League #497 on October 29, 2023.

The match was played at Miyagi Grand Stadium B-Ground in Rifu.