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Vasas Femina W vs Olimpia Cluj W — Liga 1 Feminin 2020

Vasas Femina W
Vasas Femina W
FT
0 – 9
HT: 0 – 4
Olimpia Cluj W
Olimpia Cluj W
11/15/2025Liga 1 FemininLiga 1 Feminin · Round 12

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 56+ matches

Vasas Femina W19%
×Draw17%
Olimpia Cluj W64%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vasas Femina W
1.44
Olimpia Cluj W
2.71

Olimpia Cluj W creates 88% more chances

Season form · 56 home / 70 away

creates per match

Vasas Femina W
1.73
Olimpia Cluj W
3.27

allows per match

Vasas Femina W
2.16
Olimpia Cluj W
1.16

finishing

Vasas Femina W+0.00on par
Olimpia Cluj W+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vasas Femina W ↓

Olimpia Cluj W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–26%
0–35%
0–44%
1
1–02%
1–16%
1–29%
1–38%
1–45%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–23%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Vasas Femina W or draw
36%
Vasas Femina W or Olimpia Cluj W
83%
Draw or Olimpia Cluj W
81%

Winning margin

Vasas Femina W wins by 2+
8%
Olimpia Cluj W wins by 2+
43%

Team goals

Vasas Femina W 1+ goals
76%
Vasas Femina W 2+ goals
42%
Vasas Femina W 3+ goals
18%
Olimpia Cluj W 1+ goals
93%
Olimpia Cluj W 2+ goals
75%
Olimpia Cluj W 3+ goals
50%

Draw no bet

Vasas Femina W (draw refunded)
23%
Olimpia Cluj W (draw refunded)
77%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vasas Femina W at home — creates 1.73, concedes 2.16 · 56 matches

Olimpia Cluj W away — creates 3.27, concedes 1.16 · 70 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vasas Femina W attack 1.73 + Olimpia Cluj W defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.44

Olimpia Cluj W attack 3.27 + Vasas Femina W defence 2.16 → ÷2 → 2.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Vasas Femina W scores more
19%
level
17%
Olimpia Cluj W scores more
64%

Olimpia Cluj W at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Olimpia Cluj W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Vasas Femina W vs Olimpia Cluj W

Olimpia Cluj W beat Vasas Femina W 9-0 in Liga 1 Feminin on November 15, 2025.