Valladolid 0–0 Cordoba: Result & Stats

Valladolid

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Cordoba

8/30/2025

Segunda División · Round 3Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Valladolid44%

×Draw24%

Cordoba31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ValladolidExpected goals in this matchCordoba

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.61

1.31

Valladolid

1.61

Cordoba

1.31

Valladolid creates 23% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 5 away

1.72

creates per match

1.71

0.92

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

Valladolid

1.72

Cordoba

1.71

allows per match

Valladolid

0.92

Cordoba

1.50

-0.12scores less than expected

finishing

+0.29scores more than expected

finishing

Valladolid-0.12scores less

Cordoba+0.29scores more

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Valladolid ↓

Cordoba →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Valladolid or draw

69%

Valladolid or Cordoba

76%

Draw or Cordoba

56%

Winning margin

Valladolid wins by 2+

23%

Cordoba wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Valladolid 1+ goals

80%

Valladolid 2+ goals

48%

Valladolid 3+ goals

22%

Cordoba 1+ goals

73%

Cordoba 2+ goals

38%

Cordoba 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Valladolid (draw refunded)

59%

Cordoba (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Valladolid at home — creates 1.72, concedes 0.92 · 5 matches

Cordoba away — creates 1.71, concedes 1.50 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Valladolid attack 1.72 + Cordoba defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.61

Cordoba attack 1.71 + Valladolid defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Valladolid scores more

44%

level

24%

Cordoba scores more

31%

Valladolid at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Valladolid will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13

C. Marin

Cordoba · G

9.2

Match Events

53'

A. Fuentes← S. Guardiola

58'

Kevin Medina

60'

Iván Alejo

63'

T. Zidane← K. Medina

67'

Jacobo GonzálezGoal cancelled

70'

Trilli← I. Alejo

70'

J. Ponceau← A. Ndiaye

70'

I. Alani← V. A. Meseguer Cavas

73'

Isma Ruiz

79'

I. Garriel← G. Bueno

84'

X. Moreno← S. Biuk

86'

J. Alcedo← C. Carracedo

87'

Julien Ponceau

87'

D. Requena← P. Ortiz

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ValladolidCordoba

Overview

54%Possession46%

12Total Shots5

7Corners0

17Fouls16

Shots

12Total Shots5

6On Target1

6Off Target3

0Blocked1

10Inside Box2

2Outside Box3

Passing

54%Possession46%

326Total Passes287

237Accurate Passes186

73%Pass Accuracy65%

Goalkeeping

1Saves6

Discipline

17Fouls16

2Yellow Cards2

4Offsides3

Segunda División: Valladolid 0–0 Cordoba

Valladolid and Cordoba drew 0-0 in Segunda División on August 30, 2025.

Valladolid controlled possession (54%) and registered 12 shots to 5.

The match was played at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla in Valladolid.

Valladolid vs Cordoba — Segunda División 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Segunda División: Valladolid 0–0 Cordoba