Cordoba 3–1 Valladolid: Result & Stats

Cordoba

FT

3 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Valladolid

S. Guardiola 80', 74'

D. Requena 39'

V. A. Meseguer Cavas 44'

1/31/2026

Segunda División · Round 24Estadio Nuevo Arcángel

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 67+ matches

Cordoba42%

×Draw26%

Valladolid32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

CordobaExpected goals in this matchValladolid

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.46

1.25

Cordoba

1.46

Valladolid

1.25

Cordoba creates 17% more chances

Season form · 74 home / 67 away

1.54

creates per match

1.06

1.45

allows per match

1.39

creates per match

Cordoba

1.54

Valladolid

1.06

allows per match

Cordoba

1.45

Valladolid

1.39

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Cordoba+0.00on par

Valladolid+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cordoba ↓

Valladolid →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Cordoba or draw

68%

Cordoba or Valladolid

74%

Draw or Valladolid

58%

Winning margin

Cordoba wins by 2+

20%

Valladolid wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Cordoba 1+ goals

77%

Cordoba 2+ goals

43%

Cordoba 3+ goals

18%

Valladolid 1+ goals

71%

Valladolid 2+ goals

36%

Valladolid 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Cordoba (draw refunded)

56%

Valladolid (draw refunded)

44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cordoba at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.45 · 74 matches

Valladolid away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.39 · 67 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cordoba attack 1.54 + Valladolid defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.46

Valladolid attack 1.06 + Cordoba defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Cordoba scores more

42%

level

26%

Valladolid scores more

32%

Cordoba at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Cordoba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

30

D. Requena

Cordoba · M

8.7

Match Events

39'

D. Requena↳ J. Gonzalez

44'

V. A. Meseguer Cavas↳ Peter Federico

45+4'

45+3'

46'

46'

58'

59'

D. de Almeida← I. Ruiz

66'

L. Sanseviero← Peter Federico

67'

S. Guardiola← D. Bri

74'

S. Guardiola↳ C. Carracedo

76'

Sergi Guardiola

76'

Pablo Tomeo

79'

N. Ohio← V. A. Meseguer Cavas

80'

S. Guardiola↳ C. Carracedo

83'

83'

86'

87'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CordobaValladolid

Overview

71%Possession29%

19Total Shots9

5Corners1

10Fouls11

Shots

19Total Shots9

9On Target4

8Off Target2

2Blocked3

8Inside Box8

11Outside Box1

Passing

71%Possession29%

539Total Passes222

477Accurate Passes131

88%Pass Accuracy59%

Goalkeeping

2Saves6

Discipline

10Fouls11

3Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards1

0Offsides5

Segunda División: Cordoba 3–1 Valladolid

Cordoba beat Valladolid 3-1 in Segunda División on January 31, 2026.

Goals: D. Requena (39'), V. A. Meseguer Cavas (44'), S. Guardiola (74', 80').

Cordoba controlled possession (71%) and registered 19 shots to 9.

The match was played at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel in Córdoba.

Cordoba vs Valladolid — Segunda División 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Segunda División: Cordoba 3–1 Valladolid