Vall de Uxó 0–1 Racing CF Benidorm: Result & Stats

Vall de Uxó

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Racing CF Benidorm

Yaroslav Boyko 20'

1/26/2025

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Group 6 - 19Estadio José Mangriñán

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Vall de Uxó45%

×Draw29%

Racing CF Benidorm26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Vall de UxóExpected goals in this matchRacing CF Benidorm

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.28

0.89

Vall de Uxó

1.28

Racing CF Benidorm

0.89

Vall de Uxó creates 44% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 17 away

1.15

creates per match

1.06

0.71

allows per match

1.41

creates per match

Vall de Uxó

1.15

Racing CF Benidorm

1.06

allows per match

Vall de Uxó

0.71

Racing CF Benidorm

1.41

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Vall de Uxó+0.00on par

Racing CF Benidorm+0.00on par

Total goals

Under63
Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No57
Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vall de Uxó ↓

Racing CF Benidorm →

0–011%

0–110%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1–015%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2–09%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

64%36%2.5

37%63%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Vall de Uxó or draw

74%

Vall de Uxó or Racing CF Benidorm

71%

Draw or Racing CF Benidorm

55%

Winning margin

Vall de Uxó wins by 2+

21%

Racing CF Benidorm wins by 2+

Team goals

Vall de Uxó 1+ goals

72%

Vall de Uxó 2+ goals

37%

Vall de Uxó 3+ goals

14%

Racing CF Benidorm 1+ goals

59%

Racing CF Benidorm 2+ goals

22%

Racing CF Benidorm 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Vall de Uxó (draw refunded)

64%

Racing CF Benidorm (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Vall de Uxó at home — creates 1.15, concedes 0.71 · 34 matches

Racing CF Benidorm away — creates 1.06, concedes 1.41 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Vall de Uxó attack 1.15 + Racing CF Benidorm defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.28

Racing CF Benidorm attack 1.06 + Vall de Uxó defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 45%?"

Vall de Uxó scores more

45%

level

29%

Racing CF Benidorm scores more

26%

Vall de Uxó at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Vall de Uxó will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

20'

Yaroslav Boyko

31'

Castaño← Sergio Soler

46'

José Luis Miñano← Hugo Garcia

59'

David Megina← Amine

59'

Adrián Morón← Víctor Ferrando

65'

Iván López← Javi Cabezas

71'

Prosper Adagani← Yaroslav Boyko

75'

Luismi Ruiz← Mario Cervera

75'

José Aguilar← Burri

75'

F. Arcana← Vicente Company

Vall

Racing

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Manuel Descalzo

31'▲Castaño←▼Sergio Soler

59'▲David Megina←▼Amine

59'▲Adrián Morón←▼Víctor Ferrando

75'▲Luismi Ruiz←▼Mario Cervera

75'▲José Aguilar←▼Burri

Vall de Uxó substitutes

CastañoMeginaMorónRuizAguilar

Manager: Javier Vidales

46'▲José Luis Miñano←▼Hugo Garcia

65'▲Iván López←▼Javi Cabezas

71'▲Prosper Adagani←▼Yaroslav Boyko

75'▲F. Arcana←▼Vicente Company

Racing CF Benidorm substitutes

MiñanoLópezAdaganiArcana

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6: Vall de Uxó 0–1 Racing CF Benidorm

Racing CF Benidorm beat Vall de Uxó 1-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 on January 26, 2025.

Goals: Yaroslav Boyko (20').

The match was played at Estadio José Mangriñán in Vall D'Uixó.

Vall de Uxó vs Racing CF Benidorm — Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6: Vall de Uxó 0–1 Racing CF Benidorm