Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Racing CF Benidorm vs Vall de Uxó — Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 2019

Racing CF Benidorm
Racing CF Benidorm
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Vall de Uxó
Vall de Uxó
9/15/2024Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Group 6 - 2Estadio Nou Pla

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Racing CF Benidorm34%
×Draw28%
Vall de Uxó38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Racing CF Benidorm
1.14
Vall de Uxó
1.22

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 17 home / 34 away

creates per match

Racing CF Benidorm
1.06
Vall de Uxó
0.85

allows per match

Racing CF Benidorm
1.59
Vall de Uxó
1.21

finishing

Racing CF Benidorm+0.00on par
Vall de Uxó+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Racing CF Benidorm ↓

Vall de Uxó →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–112%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Racing CF Benidorm or draw
62%
Racing CF Benidorm or Vall de Uxó
72%
Draw or Vall de Uxó
66%

Winning margin

Racing CF Benidorm wins by 2+
14%
Vall de Uxó wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Racing CF Benidorm 1+ goals
68%
Racing CF Benidorm 2+ goals
32%
Racing CF Benidorm 3+ goals
11%
Vall de Uxó 1+ goals
70%
Vall de Uxó 2+ goals
34%
Vall de Uxó 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Racing CF Benidorm (draw refunded)
47%
Vall de Uxó (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Racing CF Benidorm at home — creates 1.06, concedes 1.59 · 17 matches

Vall de Uxó away — creates 0.85, concedes 1.21 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Racing CF Benidorm attack 1.06 + Vall de Uxó defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.14

Vall de Uxó attack 0.85 + Racing CF Benidorm defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Racing CF Benidorm scores more
34%
level
28%
Vall de Uxó scores more
38%

Vall de Uxó at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Vall de Uxó will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6: Racing CF Benidorm 0–0 Vall de Uxó

Racing CF Benidorm and Vall de Uxó drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 on September 15, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Nou Pla in Villajoyosa / La Vila Joiosa.