Unterhaching U19 2–6 RB Leipzig U19: Result & Stats

Unterhaching U19

FT

2 – 6

HT: 0 – 2

RB Leipzig U19

C. Pfeiffer 84' (pen)

L. Fürmeier 51'

N. Tomašević 90+3', 89', 44'

R. Ramšak 69', 9'

N. Weißbach 65'

3/30/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group A - 8Uhlsport Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 56+ matches

Unterhaching U1929%

×Draw21%

RB Leipzig U1950%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Unterhaching U19Expected goals in this matchRB Leipzig U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.58

2.13

Unterhaching U19

1.58

RB Leipzig U19

2.13

RB Leipzig U19 creates 35% more chances

Season form · 56 home / 73 away

1.70

creates per match

2.16

2.09

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Unterhaching U19

1.70

RB Leipzig U19

2.16

allows per match

Unterhaching U19

2.09

RB Leipzig U19

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Unterhaching U19+0.00on par

RB Leipzig U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over71
Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes70
No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unterhaching U19 ↓

RB Leipzig U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–15%

0–26%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–04%

1–18%

1–29%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–03%

2–17%

2–27%

2–35%

2–43%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–24%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

88%12%2.5

71%29%3.5

50%50%4.5

31%69%

Double chance

Unterhaching U19 or draw

50%

Unterhaching U19 or RB Leipzig U19

79%

Draw or RB Leipzig U19

71%

Winning margin

Unterhaching U19 wins by 2+

13%

RB Leipzig U19 wins by 2+

30%

Team goals

Unterhaching U19 1+ goals

79%

Unterhaching U19 2+ goals

47%

Unterhaching U19 3+ goals

21%

RB Leipzig U19 1+ goals

88%

RB Leipzig U19 2+ goals

63%

RB Leipzig U19 3+ goals

35%

Draw no bet

Unterhaching U19 (draw refunded)

36%

RB Leipzig U19 (draw refunded)

64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

62%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Unterhaching U19 at home — creates 1.70, concedes 2.09 · 56 matches

RB Leipzig U19 away — creates 2.16, concedes 1.47 · 73 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Unterhaching U19 attack 1.70 + RB Leipzig U19 defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.58

RB Leipzig U19 attack 2.16 + Unterhaching U19 defence 2.09 → ÷2 → 2.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Unterhaching U19 scores more

29%

level

21%

RB Leipzig U19 scores more

50%

RB Leipzig U19 at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "RB Leipzig U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'

R. Ramšak↳ L. Voufack

44'

N. Tomašević

46'

N. Markulin← L. Hesch

51'

L. Fürmeier

63'

D. Klapija← A. Gerth

63'

N. Weißbach← Abdul Al Khalaf

65'

N. Weißbach↳ M. Walther

66'

J. Adilji← S. Weiß

69'

R. Ramšak↳ C. Neumann

73'

M. Kodaj← M. Spann

73'

L. Leger← J. Eckl

76'

L. Schößler← V. Gebel

77'

G. Freimuth← L. Leger

84'

C. PfeifferPenalty

86'

L. Hennig← J. Norbye

86'

F. Heyer← L. Voufack

89'

N. Tomašević↳ L. Schößler

90+3'

N. Tomašević

Unterhaching

RB

1

Janosch

4

▼

Norbye

8

Schuldes

19

A

▼

Voufack

24

▼

Gebel

17

▼

Gerth

26

A

Walther

12

⚽3

Tomašević

9

⚽2

Ramšak

28

A

Neumann

15

▼

Khalaf

1

Kohler

17

⚽

15

23

6

16

19

▼

Spann

21

▼

Hesch

11

▼

Weiß

9

⚽

Pfeiffer

29

▼

Eckl

Manager: A. Haidl

46'▲N. Markulin←▼L. Hesch

66'▲J. Adilji←▼S. Weiß

73'▲M. Kodaj←▼M. Spann

73'▲L. Leger←▼J. Eckl

77'▲G. Freimuth←▼L. Leger

Unterhaching U19 substitutes

10Markulin27Adilji12Kodaj18Leger14Freimuth25Meiner22Bracher

Manager: S. Heidinger

63'▲D. Klapija←▼A. Gerth

63'▲N. Weißbach←▼Abdul Al Khalaf

76'▲L. Schößler←▼V. Gebel

86'▲L. Hennig←▼J. Norbye

86'▲F. Heyer←▼L. Voufack

RB Leipzig U19 substitutes

29Klapija30Weißbach10Schößler5Hennig2Heyer44Lottes21Šarić

U19 Bundesliga: Unterhaching U19 2–6 RB Leipzig U19

RB Leipzig U19 beat Unterhaching U19 6-2 in U19 Bundesliga on March 30, 2025.

Goals: R. Ramšak (9', 69'), N. Tomašević (44', 89', 90+3'), L. Fürmeier (51'), N. Weißbach (65'), C. Pfeiffer (84' pen).

The match was played at Uhlsport Park in Unterhaching.

Unterhaching U19 vs RB Leipzig U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Unterhaching U19 2–6 RB Leipzig U19