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Universitatea Craiova vs Slask Wroclaw — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
CANC
13:00
Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw
1/15/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Universitatea Craiova40%
×Draw25%
Slask Wroclaw35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Universitatea Craiova
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.38

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 12 home / 8 away

creates per match

Universitatea Craiova
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.25

allows per match

Universitatea Craiova
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
2.00

finishing

Universitatea Craiova+0.00on par
Slask Wroclaw+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Universitatea Craiova ↓

Slask Wroclaw →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Universitatea Craiova or draw
65%
Universitatea Craiova or Slask Wroclaw
75%
Draw or Slask Wroclaw
60%

Winning margin

Universitatea Craiova wins by 2+
19%
Slask Wroclaw wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Universitatea Craiova 1+ goals
78%
Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals
44%
Universitatea Craiova 3+ goals
19%
Slask Wroclaw 1+ goals
75%
Slask Wroclaw 2+ goals
40%
Slask Wroclaw 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Universitatea Craiova (draw refunded)
54%
Slask Wroclaw (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Universitatea Craiova at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.50 · 12 matches

Slask Wroclaw away — creates 1.25, concedes 2.00 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Universitatea Craiova attack 1.00 + Slask Wroclaw defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.50

Slask Wroclaw attack 1.25 + Universitatea Craiova defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Universitatea Craiova scores more
40%
level
25%
Slask Wroclaw scores more
35%

Universitatea Craiova at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Universitatea Craiova will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Universitatea Craiova host Slask Wroclaw

January 15, 2023: Universitatea Craiova take on Slask Wroclaw in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Universitatea Craiova host Slask Wroclaw at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.