Scoreo

Slask Wroclaw vs Universitatea CraiovaFriendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Slask Wroclaw44%
×Draw26%
Universitatea Craiova30%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slask Wroclaw
1.42
Universitatea Craiova
1.13

Slask Wroclaw creates 26% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 4 away

creates per match

Slask Wroclaw
2.09
Universitatea Craiova
1.25

allows per match

Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Universitatea Craiova
0.75

finishing

Slask Wroclaw+0.00on par
Universitatea Craiova+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slask Wroclaw

Universitatea Craiova
0
1
2
3
4
0
008%
019%
025%
032%
041%
1
1011%
1113%
127%
133%
141%
2
208%
219%
225%
232%
241%
3
304%
314%
322%
331%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Slask Wroclaw or draw
70%
Slask Wroclaw or Universitatea Craiova
74%
Draw or Universitatea Craiova
56%

Winning margin

Slask Wroclaw wins by 2+
21%
Universitatea Craiova wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Slask Wroclaw 1+ goals
76%
Slask Wroclaw 2+ goals
41%
Slask Wroclaw 3+ goals
17%
Universitatea Craiova 1+ goals
68%
Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals
31%
Universitatea Craiova 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Slask Wroclaw (draw refunded)
59%
Universitatea Craiova (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slask Wroclaw at homecreates 2.09, concedes 1.00 · 11 matches

Universitatea Craiova awaycreates 1.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slask Wroclaw attack 2.09 + Universitatea Craiova defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.42

Universitatea Craiova attack 1.25 + Slask Wroclaw defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Slask Wroclaw scores more
44%
level
26%
Universitatea Craiova scores more
30%

Slask Wroclaw at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Slask Wroclaw will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Slask Wroclaw host Universitatea Craiova

June 26, 2024: Slask Wroclaw take on Universitatea Craiova in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Slask Wroclaw host Universitatea Craiova at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.