Universitatea Cluj 4–1 Csikszereda: Result & Stats

Universitatea Cluj

FT

4 – 1

HT: 4 – 0

Csikszereda

M. Drammeh 39', 32'

D. Nistor 36'

I. Macalou 25'

M. Eppel 71'

2/14/2026

Liga I · Round 27Cluj Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 15+ matches

Universitatea Cluj58%

×Draw23%

Csikszereda20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Universitatea ClujExpected goals in this matchCsikszereda

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.85

0.97

Universitatea Cluj

1.85

Csikszereda

0.97

Universitatea Cluj creates 91% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 15 away

1.36

creates per match

0.89

1.05

allows per match

2.35

creates per match

Universitatea Cluj

1.36

Csikszereda

0.89

allows per match

Universitatea Cluj

1.05

Csikszereda

2.35

+0.14scores more than expected

finishing

-0.29scores less than expected

finishing

Universitatea Cluj+0.14scores more

Csikszereda-0.29scores less

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Universitatea Cluj ↓

Csikszereda →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–111%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Universitatea Cluj or draw

80%

Universitatea Cluj or Csikszereda

77%

Draw or Csikszereda

42%

Winning margin

Universitatea Cluj wins by 2+

33%

Csikszereda wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Universitatea Cluj 1+ goals

84%

Universitatea Cluj 2+ goals

55%

Universitatea Cluj 3+ goals

28%

Csikszereda 1+ goals

62%

Csikszereda 2+ goals

25%

Csikszereda 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Universitatea Cluj (draw refunded)

75%

Csikszereda (draw refunded)

25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Universitatea Cluj at home — creates 1.36, concedes 1.05 · 24 matches

Csikszereda away — creates 0.89, concedes 2.35 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Universitatea Cluj attack 1.36 + Csikszereda defence 2.35 → ÷2 → 1.85

Csikszereda attack 0.89 + Universitatea Cluj defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Universitatea Cluj scores more

58%

level

23%

Csikszereda scores more

20%

Universitatea Cluj at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Universitatea Cluj will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

M. Drammeh

Universitatea Cluj · M

9.2

Match Events

7'

13'

25'

31'

32'

36'

39'

M. Drammeh↳ D. Mikanovic

46'

Ovidiu Bic

46'

R. Palmes← A. Kabashi

46'

E. Bloj← M. Bettini

46'

W. Loeper← S. Jebari

54'

J. Stanojev← I. Macalou

57'

E. Capradossi← L. Cristea

57'

A. Chintes← D. Mikanovic

61'

S. Szalay← Anderson Ceara

71'

M. Eppel↳ E. Bloj

72'

A. Murgia← M. Drammeh

72'

G. B. Simion← O. Bic

72'

Z. Nagy← M. Eppel

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

UniversitateaCsikszereda

Overview

70%Possession30%

12Total Shots14

2.67Expected Goals (xG)2.85

0Corners2

13Fouls7

Shots

12Total Shots14

6On Target6

2Off Target6

4Blocked2

9Inside Box8

3Outside Box6

Passing

70%Possession30%

615Total Passes255

547Accurate Passes197

89%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

5Saves2

Discipline

13Fouls7

2Yellow Cards2

0Offsides2

Match Recap: Universitatea Cluj vs Csikszereda

Universitatea Cluj beat Csikszereda 4-1 in Liga I on February 14, 2026.

Goals: I. Macalou (25'), M. Drammeh (32', 39'), D. Nistor (36'), M. Eppel (71').

Universitatea Cluj controlled possession (70%) and registered 12 shots to 14.

The match was played at Cluj Arena in Cluj-Napoca.

Universitatea Cluj vs Csikszereda — Liga I 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Universitatea Cluj vs Csikszereda