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United Nordic vs IFK Norrkoping — Friendlies Clubs 2026

United Nordic
United Nordic
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
IFK Norrkoping
IFK Norrkoping
Unknown 18'
A. Eriksson 15'
2/8/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

United Nordic70%
×Draw16%
IFK Norrkoping14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

United Nordic
2.79
IFK Norrkoping
1.21

United Nordic creates 131% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 6 away

creates per match

United Nordic
4.25
IFK Norrkoping
1.67

allows per match

United Nordic
0.75
IFK Norrkoping
1.33

finishing

United Nordic+0.00on par
IFK Norrkoping+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

United Nordic ↓

IFK Norrkoping →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–16%
1–24%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–05%
4–16%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

United Nordic or draw
86%
United Nordic or IFK Norrkoping
84%
Draw or IFK Norrkoping
30%

Winning margin

United Nordic wins by 2+
49%
IFK Norrkoping wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

United Nordic 1+ goals
94%
United Nordic 2+ goals
76%
United Nordic 3+ goals
52%
IFK Norrkoping 1+ goals
70%
IFK Norrkoping 2+ goals
34%
IFK Norrkoping 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

United Nordic (draw refunded)
83%
IFK Norrkoping (draw refunded)
17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

United Nordic at home — creates 4.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

IFK Norrkoping away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

United Nordic attack 4.25 + IFK Norrkoping defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 2.79

IFK Norrkoping attack 1.67 + United Nordic defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

United Nordic scores more
70%
level
16%
IFK Norrkoping scores more
14%

United Nordic at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "United Nordic will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

15'
A. Eriksson
18'
United
IFK
N. Miljanovic
Manager: N. Miljanovic
Martin Falk
Manager: Martin Falk

Friendlies Clubs: United Nordic 1–1 IFK Norrkoping

United Nordic and IFK Norrkoping drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 8, 2026.

Goals: A. Eriksson (15'), ? (18').