IFK Norrkoping vs United Nordic — Superettan 2026
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 7+ matches
IFK Norrkoping59%
United Nordic18%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
IFK Norrkoping creates 107% more chances
Season form · 7 home / 8 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under52
- Over48
Close call
Both teams score
- No53
- Yes47
One side may not score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
IFK Norrkoping ↓
Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
IFK Norrkoping at home — creates 2.14, concedes 0.71 · 7 matches
United Nordic away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.38 · 8 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
IFK Norrkoping attack 2.14 + United Nordic defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.76
United Nordic attack 1.00 + IFK Norrkoping defence 0.71 → ÷2 → 0.85
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 59%?"
IFK Norrkoping at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 59% does not mean "IFK Norrkoping will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Player of the match
Match Events
Head to Head
3 previous meetings · small sample
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Landskrona BoIS
Vasteras SK FK
Oddevold
Helsingborg
Ostersunds FK
IK brage
Kalmar FF
Sandviken
Orebro SK
Orgryte IS
GIF SundsvallIFK NorrkopingUnited Nordic
Osters IF
Norrby IF
Ljungskile SK
Umeå FC
Utsikten
Trelleborg
IFK Varnamo
Hammarby TalangIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
IFK Norrkoping host United Nordic on Wednesday, 13 May 2026 at 17:00. The match is part of the Superettan 2026/2027 season.
Superettan: IFK Norrkoping 1–1 United Nordic
IFK Norrkoping and United Nordic drew 1-1 in Superettan on May 13, 2026.
Goals: C. Nyman (62'), K. Jawla (90').
IFK Norrkoping controlled possession (54%) and registered 17 shots to 10.
The match was played at Norrkopings Idrottspark in Norrkoping.