Unisport Bafang 6–0 Jeunes Fauves: Result & Stats

Unisport Bafang

FT

6 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Jeunes Fauves

4/29/2026

Elite One · Round 16Stade Municipal de Bafang

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

Unisport Bafang50%

×Draw26%

Jeunes Fauves24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Unisport BafangExpected goals in this matchJeunes Fauves

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

0.93

Unisport Bafang

1.48

Jeunes Fauves

0.93

Unisport Bafang creates 59% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 47 away

1.15

creates per match

0.98

0.88

allows per match

1.81

creates per match

Unisport Bafang

1.15

Jeunes Fauves

0.98

allows per match

Unisport Bafang

0.88

Jeunes Fauves

1.81

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Unisport Bafang+0.00on par

Jeunes Fauves+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unisport Bafang ↓

Jeunes Fauves →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Unisport Bafang or draw

76%

Unisport Bafang or Jeunes Fauves

74%

Draw or Jeunes Fauves

50%

Winning margin

Unisport Bafang wins by 2+

25%

Jeunes Fauves wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Unisport Bafang 1+ goals

77%

Unisport Bafang 2+ goals

43%

Unisport Bafang 3+ goals

19%

Jeunes Fauves 1+ goals

61%

Jeunes Fauves 2+ goals

24%

Jeunes Fauves 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Unisport Bafang (draw refunded)

68%

Jeunes Fauves (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Unisport Bafang at home — creates 1.15, concedes 0.88 · 26 matches

Jeunes Fauves away — creates 0.98, concedes 1.81 · 47 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Unisport Bafang attack 1.15 + Jeunes Fauves defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.48

Jeunes Fauves attack 0.98 + Unisport Bafang defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Unisport Bafang scores more

50%

level

26%

Jeunes Fauves scores more

24%

Unisport Bafang at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Unisport Bafang will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff