Unirea Slobozia 6–1 Csikszereda: Result & Stats

Unirea Slobozia

FT

6 – 1

HT: 2 – 1

Csikszereda

7/21/2025

Liga I · Round 2May 1 Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

Unirea Slobozia52%

×Draw25%

Csikszereda23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Unirea SloboziaExpected goals in this matchCsikszereda

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.65

1.01

Unirea Slobozia

1.65

Csikszereda

1.01

Unirea Slobozia creates 63% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 21 away

1.05

creates per match

0.67

1.34

allows per match

2.24

creates per match

Unirea Slobozia

1.05

Csikszereda

0.67

allows per match

Unirea Slobozia

1.34

Csikszereda

2.24

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Unirea Slobozia+0.00on par

Csikszereda+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unirea Slobozia ↓

Csikszereda →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

74%26%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Unirea Slobozia or draw

77%

Unirea Slobozia or Csikszereda

75%

Draw or Csikszereda

48%

Winning margin

Unirea Slobozia wins by 2+

28%

Csikszereda wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Unirea Slobozia 1+ goals

81%

Unirea Slobozia 2+ goals

49%

Unirea Slobozia 3+ goals

23%

Csikszereda 1+ goals

64%

Csikszereda 2+ goals

27%

Csikszereda 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Unirea Slobozia (draw refunded)

69%

Csikszereda (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Unirea Slobozia at home — creates 1.05, concedes 1.34 · 38 matches

Csikszereda away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.24 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Unirea Slobozia attack 1.05 + Csikszereda defence 2.24 → ÷2 → 1.65

Csikszereda attack 0.67 + Unirea Slobozia defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Unirea Slobozia scores more

52%

level

25%

Csikszereda scores more

23%

Unirea Slobozia at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Unirea Slobozia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff