Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Union Schafhausen vs Teutonia Weiden — Oberliga - Mittelrhein 2020

Union Schafhausen
Union Schafhausen
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Teutonia Weiden
Teutonia Weiden
6/1/2025Oberliga - MittelrheinOberliga - Mittelrhein · Mittelrhein - 28Sportplatz Im Kuhlert

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Union Schafhausen48%
×Draw20%
Teutonia Weiden31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Union Schafhausen
2.25
Teutonia Weiden
1.80

Union Schafhausen creates 25% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 28 away

creates per match

Union Schafhausen
0.97
Teutonia Weiden
1.57

allows per match

Union Schafhausen
2.03
Teutonia Weiden
3.54

finishing

Union Schafhausen+0.00on par
Teutonia Weiden+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

75%Yes
  • Yes75
  • No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Union Schafhausen ↓

Teutonia Weiden →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Union Schafhausen or draw
69%
Union Schafhausen or Teutonia Weiden
80%
Draw or Teutonia Weiden
52%

Winning margin

Union Schafhausen wins by 2+
29%
Teutonia Weiden wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Union Schafhausen 1+ goals
89%
Union Schafhausen 2+ goals
65%
Union Schafhausen 3+ goals
39%
Teutonia Weiden 1+ goals
83%
Teutonia Weiden 2+ goals
54%
Teutonia Weiden 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Union Schafhausen (draw refunded)
61%
Teutonia Weiden (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Union Schafhausen at home — creates 0.97, concedes 2.03 · 30 matches

Teutonia Weiden away — creates 1.57, concedes 3.54 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Union Schafhausen attack 0.97 + Teutonia Weiden defence 3.54 → ÷2 → 2.25

Teutonia Weiden attack 1.57 + Union Schafhausen defence 2.03 → ÷2 → 1.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Union Schafhausen scores more
48%
level
20%
Teutonia Weiden scores more
31%

Union Schafhausen at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Union Schafhausen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oberliga - Mittelrhein: Union Schafhausen 1–1 Teutonia Weiden

Union Schafhausen and Teutonia Weiden drew 1-1 in Oberliga - Mittelrhein on June 1, 2025.

The match was played at Sportplatz Im Kuhlert in Heinsberg.