Ull/Kisa 3–2 Asker: Result & Stats

Ull/Kisa

FT

3 – 2

HT: 2 – 0

Asker

M. Bergum 88'

J. Skille 42'

A. Aleksanjan 20'

N. H. Kvifte 90'

K. Syvertsen 63'

6/14/2025

2. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 10Jessheim Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Ull/Kisa50%

×Draw21%

Asker29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Ull/KisaExpected goals in this matchAsker

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.10

1.58

Ull/Kisa

2.10

Asker

1.58

Ull/Kisa creates 33% more chances

Season form · 58 home / 45 away

2.38

creates per match

1.29

1.86

allows per match

1.82

creates per match

Ull/Kisa

2.38

Asker

1.29

allows per match

Ull/Kisa

1.86

Asker

1.82

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Ull/Kisa+0.00on par

Asker+0.00on par

Total goals

Over71
Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes70
No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ull/Kisa ↓

Asker →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–05%

1–18%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–23%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

88%12%2.5

71%29%3.5

50%50%4.5

30%70%

Double chance

Ull/Kisa or draw

71%

Ull/Kisa or Asker

79%

Draw or Asker

50%

Winning margin

Ull/Kisa wins by 2+

29%

Asker wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Ull/Kisa 1+ goals

88%

Ull/Kisa 2+ goals

62%

Ull/Kisa 3+ goals

35%

Asker 1+ goals

79%

Asker 2+ goals

47%

Asker 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Ull/Kisa (draw refunded)

63%

Asker (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

61%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ull/Kisa at home — creates 2.38, concedes 1.86 · 58 matches

Asker away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.82 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ull/Kisa attack 2.38 + Asker defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 2.10

Asker attack 1.29 + Ull/Kisa defence 1.86 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Ull/Kisa scores more

50%

level

21%

Asker scores more

29%

Ull/Kisa at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Ull/Kisa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

20'

A. Aleksanjan

25'

H. Paulsrud

42'

J. Skille

59'

E. Adukonis← M. Baekken

60'

R. Sorter← M. Spiten-Nysaeter

63'

S. Bjorkkjaer

63'

K. Syvertsen

67'

E. Bjornsengen← H. Paulsrud

67'

C. Damhaug← A. Aleksanjan

75'

M. Jatta← L. Sesay

82'

E. Vestby← F. F. Da Silva

87'

N. H. Kvifte← E. Kristiansen

88'

M. Bergum

90'

N. H. Kvifte

Ull/Kisa

Asker

30

Hejer

3

Larsen

15

▼

Kristians

18

▼

19

21

8

11

▼

Baekken

20

▼

Sesay

27

Kenyi

77

⚽

1

4

5

23

27

▼

Paulsrud

7

⚽

Bergum

11

▼

Silva

21

Kjenstebe

9

⚽

Skille

10

Flores

22

⚽

▼

Aleksanja

Manager: K. Wehrman

67'▲E. Bjornsengen←▼H. Paulsrud

67'▲C. Damhaug←▼A. Aleksanjan

82'▲E. Vestby←▼F. F. Da Silva

Ull/Kisa substitutes

12Christensen2Housni3Vestby6Naustdal14Bjornsengen16Damhaug18Ostadi19Skarpsno20Ophaug

Manager: R. Bredal

59'▲E. Adukonis←▼M. Baekken

60'▲R. Sorter←▼M. Spiten-Nysaeter

75'▲M. Jatta←▼L. Sesay

87'▲N. H. Kvifte←▼E. Kristiansen

Asker substitutes

1Normann10Adukonis14Sorter17Arnesen28Ryssdalsnes33Kvifte42Jatta29Vaage

Ull/Kisa 3 – 2 Asker

Ull/Kisa beat Asker 3-2 in 2. Division - Group 2 on June 14, 2025.

Goals: A. Aleksanjan (20'), J. Skille (42'), K. Syvertsen (63'), M. Bergum (88'), N. H. Kvifte (90').

The match was played at Jessheim Stadion in Jessheim.

Ull/Kisa vs Asker — 2. Division - Group 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Ull/Kisa 3 – 2 Asker