U Craiova 1948 0–0 Dunarea Calarasi: Result & Stats

U Craiova 1948

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Dunarea Calarasi

5/23/2021

Liga II · Promotion Round - 10Stadionul Ion Oblemenco

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 26+ matches

U Craiova 194855%

×Draw25%

Dunarea Calarasi20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

U Craiova 1948Expected goals in this matchDunarea Calarasi

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.57

0.82

U Craiova 1948

1.57

Dunarea Calarasi

0.82

U Craiova 1948 creates 91% more chances

Season form · 26 home / 40 away

1.42

creates per match

0.80

0.85

allows per match

1.73

creates per match

U Craiova 1948

1.42

Dunarea Calarasi

0.80

allows per match

U Craiova 1948

0.85

Dunarea Calarasi

1.73

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

U Craiova 1948+0.00on par

Dunarea Calarasi+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

U Craiova 1948 ↓

Dunarea Calarasi →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–18%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–112%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

U Craiova 1948 or draw

80%

U Craiova 1948 or Dunarea Calarasi

75%

Draw or Dunarea Calarasi

45%

Winning margin

U Craiova 1948 wins by 2+

29%

Dunarea Calarasi wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

U Craiova 1948 1+ goals

79%

U Craiova 1948 2+ goals

46%

U Craiova 1948 3+ goals

21%

Dunarea Calarasi 1+ goals

56%

Dunarea Calarasi 2+ goals

20%

Dunarea Calarasi 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

U Craiova 1948 (draw refunded)

74%

Dunarea Calarasi (draw refunded)

26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

U Craiova 1948 at home — creates 1.42, concedes 0.85 · 26 matches

Dunarea Calarasi away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.73 · 40 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

U Craiova 1948 attack 1.42 + Dunarea Calarasi defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.57

Dunarea Calarasi attack 0.80 + U Craiova 1948 defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 0.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

U Craiova 1948 scores more

55%

level

25%

Dunarea Calarasi scores more

20%

U Craiova 1948 at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "U Craiova 1948 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga II: U Craiova 1948 0–0 Dunarea Calarasi

U Craiova 1948 and Dunarea Calarasi drew 0-0 in Liga II on May 23, 2021.

The match was played at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco in Craiova.

U Craiova 1948 vs Dunarea Calarasi — Liga II 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Liga II: U Craiova 1948 0–0 Dunarea Calarasi