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Tychy 71 vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Tychy 71
Tychy 71
FT
3 – 2
HT: 2 – 0
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2/1/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Tychy 7148%
×Draw20%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tychy 71
2.24
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.78

Tychy 71 creates 26% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 6 away

creates per match

Tychy 71
1.65
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2.17

allows per match

Tychy 71
1.40
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2.83

finishing

Tychy 71+0.00on par
Zaglebie Sosnowiec+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tychy 71 ↓

Zaglebie Sosnowiec →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Tychy 71 or draw
69%
Tychy 71 or Zaglebie Sosnowiec
80%
Draw or Zaglebie Sosnowiec
52%

Winning margin

Tychy 71 wins by 2+
29%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Tychy 71 1+ goals
89%
Tychy 71 2+ goals
65%
Tychy 71 3+ goals
38%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1+ goals
83%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2+ goals
53%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Tychy 71 (draw refunded)
61%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tychy 71 at home — creates 1.65, concedes 1.40 · 20 matches

Zaglebie Sosnowiec away — creates 2.17, concedes 2.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tychy 71 attack 1.65 + Zaglebie Sosnowiec defence 2.83 → ÷2 → 2.24

Zaglebie Sosnowiec attack 2.17 + Tychy 71 defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 1.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Tychy 71 scores more
48%
level
20%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec scores more
31%

Tychy 71 at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Tychy 71 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Tychy 71 3–2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Tychy 71 beat Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on February 1, 2025.