Tychy 71 0–0 Miedz Legnica: Result & Stats | I Liga

Tychy 71

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Miedz Legnica

8/25/2023

I Liga · Round 6Stadion Miejski

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 103+ matches

Tychy 7138%

×Draw27%

Miedz Legnica35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tychy 71Expected goals in this matchMiedz Legnica

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.30

1.23

Tychy 71

1.30

Miedz Legnica

1.23

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 128 home / 103 away

1.43

creates per match

1.22

1.24

allows per match

1.17

creates per match

Tychy 71

1.43

Miedz Legnica

1.22

allows per match

Tychy 71

1.24

Miedz Legnica

1.17

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tychy 71+0.00on par

Miedz Legnica+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tychy 71 ↓

Miedz Legnica →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–110%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Tychy 71 or draw

65%

Tychy 71 or Miedz Legnica

73%

Draw or Miedz Legnica

62%

Winning margin

Tychy 71 wins by 2+

17%

Miedz Legnica wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Tychy 71 1+ goals

73%

Tychy 71 2+ goals

37%

Tychy 71 3+ goals

14%

Miedz Legnica 1+ goals

71%

Miedz Legnica 2+ goals

35%

Miedz Legnica 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Tychy 71 (draw refunded)

52%

Miedz Legnica (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tychy 71 at home — creates 1.43, concedes 1.24 · 128 matches

Miedz Legnica away — creates 1.22, concedes 1.17 · 103 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tychy 71 attack 1.43 + Miedz Legnica defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.30

Miedz Legnica attack 1.22 + Tychy 71 defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Tychy 71 scores more

38%

level

27%

Miedz Legnica scores more

35%

Tychy 71 at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Tychy 71 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

20'

23'

25'

57'

58'

65'

D. Stanclik← K. Drygas

75'

K. Machowski← P. Mikita

77'

D. Rumin← B. Śpiączka

77'

M. Szpakowski← W. Niewiarowski

79'

D. Stanclik

85'

P. Pierzak← D. Tront

85'

S. Zalewski← K. Antonik

90'

R. Hoogenhout

Tychy

Miedz

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: D. Banasik

75'▲K. Machowski←▼P. Mikita

77'▲D. Rumin←▼B. Śpiączka

77'▲M. Szpakowski←▼W. Niewiarowski

Tychy 71 substitutes

MachowskiRuminSzpakowskiKostrzewskiBierońskiSkibickiDijakovicBuchtaMystkowski

Manager: R. Bella

58'▲K. Drzazga←▼E. Agbor

65'▲D. Stanclik←▼K. Drygas

85'▲P. Pierzak←▼D. Tront

85'▲S. Zalewski←▼K. Antonik

Miedz Legnica substitutes

DrzazgaStanclikPierzakZalewskiNiewulisGuzdekAbramowiczMansfeldTarsi

I Liga: Tychy 71 0–0 Miedz Legnica

Tychy 71 and Miedz Legnica drew 0-0 in I Liga on August 25, 2023.

The match was played at Stadion Miejski in Tychy.

Tychy 71 vs Miedz Legnica — I Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

I Liga: Tychy 71 0–0 Miedz Legnica