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TuS RW Koblenz vs FV Engers 07 — Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar 2020

TuS RW Koblenz
TuS RW Koblenz
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
FV Engers 07
FV Engers 07
5/2/2026Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarOberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar · Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar - 30Stadion Oberwerth

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 53+ matches

TuS RW Koblenz43%
×Draw22%
FV Engers 0736%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

TuS RW Koblenz
1.94
FV Engers 07
1.77

TuS RW Koblenz creates 10% more chances

Season form · 53 home / 78 away

creates per match

TuS RW Koblenz
2.17
FV Engers 07
1.96

allows per match

TuS RW Koblenz
1.57
FV Engers 07
1.71

finishing

TuS RW Koblenz+0.00on par
FV Engers 07+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

TuS RW Koblenz ↓

FV Engers 07 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

TuS RW Koblenz or draw
64%
TuS RW Koblenz or FV Engers 07
78%
Draw or FV Engers 07
57%

Winning margin

TuS RW Koblenz wins by 2+
23%
FV Engers 07 wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

TuS RW Koblenz 1+ goals
86%
TuS RW Koblenz 2+ goals
58%
TuS RW Koblenz 3+ goals
30%
FV Engers 07 1+ goals
83%
FV Engers 07 2+ goals
53%
FV Engers 07 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

TuS RW Koblenz (draw refunded)
54%
FV Engers 07 (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

TuS RW Koblenz at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.57 · 53 matches

FV Engers 07 away — creates 1.96, concedes 1.71 · 78 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

TuS RW Koblenz attack 2.17 + FV Engers 07 defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.94

FV Engers 07 attack 1.96 + TuS RW Koblenz defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

TuS RW Koblenz scores more
43%
level
22%
FV Engers 07 scores more
36%

TuS RW Koblenz at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "TuS RW Koblenz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar: TuS RW Koblenz 2–1 FV Engers 07

TuS RW Koblenz beat FV Engers 07 2-1 in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar on May 2, 2026.

The match was played at Stadion Oberwerth in Koblenz.