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FV Engers 07 vs TuS RW Koblenz — Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar 2020

FV Engers 07
FV Engers 07
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
TuS RW Koblenz
TuS RW Koblenz
10/17/2025Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarOberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar · Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar - 13Stadion am Wasserturm

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 53+ matches

FV Engers 0744%
×Draw23%
TuS RW Koblenz33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

FV Engers 07
1.78
TuS RW Koblenz
1.51

FV Engers 07 creates 18% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 53 away

creates per match

FV Engers 07
1.92
TuS RW Koblenz
1.53

allows per match

FV Engers 07
1.49
TuS RW Koblenz
1.64

finishing

FV Engers 07+0.00on par
TuS RW Koblenz+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FV Engers 07 ↓

TuS RW Koblenz →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

FV Engers 07 or draw
67%
FV Engers 07 or TuS RW Koblenz
77%
Draw or TuS RW Koblenz
56%

Winning margin

FV Engers 07 wins by 2+
24%
TuS RW Koblenz wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

FV Engers 07 1+ goals
83%
FV Engers 07 2+ goals
53%
FV Engers 07 3+ goals
26%
TuS RW Koblenz 1+ goals
78%
TuS RW Koblenz 2+ goals
44%
TuS RW Koblenz 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

FV Engers 07 (draw refunded)
57%
TuS RW Koblenz (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FV Engers 07 at home — creates 1.92, concedes 1.49 · 76 matches

TuS RW Koblenz away — creates 1.53, concedes 1.64 · 53 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FV Engers 07 attack 1.92 + TuS RW Koblenz defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.78

TuS RW Koblenz attack 1.53 + FV Engers 07 defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.51

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

FV Engers 07 scores more
44%
level
23%
TuS RW Koblenz scores more
33%

FV Engers 07 at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "FV Engers 07 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar: FV Engers 07 1–0 TuS RW Koblenz

FV Engers 07 beat TuS RW Koblenz 1-0 in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar on October 17, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion am Wasserturm in Neuwied.