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TSV Steinbach vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

TSV Steinbach
TSV Steinbach
CANC
12:00
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
7/16/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

TSV Steinbach55%
×Draw22%
Rot-weiss Oberhausen23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

TSV Steinbach
1.98
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
1.22

TSV Steinbach creates 62% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 9 away

creates per match

TSV Steinbach
2.40
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
1.44

allows per match

TSV Steinbach
1.00
Rot-weiss Oberhausen
1.56

finishing

TSV Steinbach+0.00on par
Rot-weiss Oberhausen+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

TSV Steinbach ↓

Rot-weiss Oberhausen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

TSV Steinbach or draw
77%
TSV Steinbach or Rot-weiss Oberhausen
78%
Draw or Rot-weiss Oberhausen
45%

Winning margin

TSV Steinbach wins by 2+
32%
Rot-weiss Oberhausen wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

TSV Steinbach 1+ goals
86%
TSV Steinbach 2+ goals
59%
TSV Steinbach 3+ goals
31%
Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1+ goals
70%
Rot-weiss Oberhausen 2+ goals
34%
Rot-weiss Oberhausen 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

TSV Steinbach (draw refunded)
70%
Rot-weiss Oberhausen (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

TSV Steinbach at home — creates 2.40, concedes 1.00 · 5 matches

Rot-weiss Oberhausen away — creates 1.44, concedes 1.56 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

TSV Steinbach attack 2.40 + Rot-weiss Oberhausen defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.98

Rot-weiss Oberhausen attack 1.44 + TSV Steinbach defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

TSV Steinbach scores more
55%
level
22%
Rot-weiss Oberhausen scores more
23%

TSV Steinbach at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "TSV Steinbach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

TSV Steinbach face Rot-weiss Oberhausen (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with TSV Steinbach hosting Rot-weiss Oberhausen. Match starts July 16, 2022. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

TSV Steinbach host Rot-weiss Oberhausen at SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.