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TransINVEST Vilnius vs Banga — Friendlies Clubs 2026

TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
CANC
16:30
Banga
Banga
2/7/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

TransINVEST Vilnius45%
×Draw24%
Banga31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

TransINVEST Vilnius
1.62
Banga
1.30

TransINVEST Vilnius creates 25% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 9 away

creates per match

TransINVEST Vilnius
1.80
Banga
2.00

allows per match

TransINVEST Vilnius
0.60
Banga
1.44

finishing

TransINVEST Vilnius+0.00on par
Banga+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 56Under: 4456%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 58No: 4258%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

TransINVEST Vilnius ↓

Banga →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

TransINVEST Vilnius or draw
69%
TransINVEST Vilnius or Banga
76%
Draw or Banga
55%

Winning margin

TransINVEST Vilnius wins by 2+
23%
Banga wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

TransINVEST Vilnius 1+ goals
80%
TransINVEST Vilnius 2+ goals
48%
TransINVEST Vilnius 3+ goals
22%
Banga 1+ goals
73%
Banga 2+ goals
37%
Banga 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

TransINVEST Vilnius (draw refunded)
59%
Banga (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

TransINVEST Vilnius at home — creates 1.80, concedes 0.60 · 5 matches

Banga away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.44 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

TransINVEST Vilnius attack 1.80 + Banga defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.62

Banga attack 2.00 + TransINVEST Vilnius defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

TransINVEST Vilnius scores more
45%
level
24%
Banga scores more
31%

TransINVEST Vilnius at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "TransINVEST Vilnius will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: TransINVEST Vilnius host Banga

February 7, 2026: TransINVEST Vilnius take on Banga in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.