Tranmere 0–2 Bromley: Result & Stats | League Two

Tranmere

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Bromley

M. Cheek 57', 2'

1/10/2026

League Two · Round 26Prenton Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 12+ matches

Tranmere40%

×Draw27%

Bromley33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TranmereExpected goals in this matchBromley

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.31

1.16

Tranmere

1.31

Bromley

1.16

Tranmere creates 13% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 12 away

1.09

creates per match

1.11

1.21

allows per match

1.54

creates per match

Tranmere

1.09

Bromley

1.11

allows per match

Tranmere

1.21

Bromley

1.54

+0.12scores more than expected

finishing

+0.39scores more than expected

finishing

Tranmere+0.12scores more

Bromley+0.39scores more

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tranmere ↓

Bromley →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–110%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Tranmere or draw

67%

Tranmere or Bromley

73%

Draw or Bromley

60%

Winning margin

Tranmere wins by 2+

18%

Bromley wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Tranmere 1+ goals

73%

Tranmere 2+ goals

38%

Tranmere 3+ goals

14%

Bromley 1+ goals

69%

Bromley 2+ goals

32%

Bromley 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Tranmere (draw refunded)

55%

Bromley (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tranmere at home — creates 1.09, concedes 1.21 · 14 matches

Bromley away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.54 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tranmere attack 1.09 + Bromley defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.31

Bromley attack 1.11 + Tranmere defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Tranmere scores more

40%

level

27%

Bromley scores more

33%

Tranmere at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Tranmere will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

M. Cheek

Bromley · F

8.3

Match Events

2'

15'

41'

49'

57'

59'

66'

J. Davison← K. Dennis

66'

C. Jennings← J. Ironside

66'

B. Blacker← R. Smallwood

66'

N. Kabamba← M. Cheek

73'

William Hondermarck

84'

E. Bristow← A. McGowan

85'

B. Ilunga← C. Whitely

90+3'

B. Thompson← W. Hondermarck

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

TranmereBromley

Overview

64%Possession36%

16Total Shots7

0.99Expected Goals (xG)0.68

4Corners4

11Fouls13

Shots

16Total Shots7

4On Target4

4Off Target1

8Blocked2

10Inside Box6

6Outside Box1

Passing

64%Possession36%

493Total Passes275

334Accurate Passes134

68%Pass Accuracy49%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

11Fouls13

2Yellow Cards3

2Offsides1