Tranmere 2–0 Blackpool: Result & Stats

Tranmere

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Blackpool

J. Davies 54'

C. Whitaker 31'

7/18/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Tranmere24%

×Draw24%

Blackpool52%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TranmereExpected goals in this matchBlackpool

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.09

1.74

Tranmere

1.09

Blackpool

1.74

Blackpool creates 60% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 7 away

1.33

creates per match

3.14

0.33

allows per match

0.86

creates per match

Tranmere

1.33

Blackpool

3.14

allows per match

Tranmere

0.33

Blackpool

0.86

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tranmere+0.00on par

Blackpool+0.00on par

Total goals

Over54
Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tranmere ↓

Blackpool →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–110%

0–29%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–06%

1–111%

1–210%

1–36%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–16%

2–25%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

54%46%3.5

31%69%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Tranmere or draw

48%

Tranmere or Blackpool

76%

Draw or Blackpool

76%

Winning margin

Tranmere wins by 2+

9%

Blackpool wins by 2+

29%

Team goals

Tranmere 1+ goals

66%

Tranmere 2+ goals

30%

Tranmere 3+ goals

10%

Blackpool 1+ goals

82%

Blackpool 2+ goals

52%

Blackpool 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

Tranmere (draw refunded)

31%

Blackpool (draw refunded)

69%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tranmere at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

Blackpool away — creates 3.14, concedes 0.86 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tranmere attack 1.33 + Blackpool defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 1.09

Blackpool attack 3.14 + Tranmere defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 1.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Tranmere scores more

24%

level

24%

Blackpool scores more

52%

Blackpool at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Blackpool will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

31'

C. Whitaker

54'

J. Davies

Tranmere

Blackpool

Manager: Pete Wild

Manager: Ian Evatt