Tractor Sazi 0–0 Sharjah FC: Result & Stats

Tractor Sazi

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Sharjah FC

4/17/2021

AFC Champions League Elite · Ranking of second-placed teams - 2Sharjah Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Tractor Sazi29%

×Draw30%

Sharjah FC41%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tractor SaziExpected goals in this matchSharjah FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.90

1.15

Tractor Sazi

0.90

Sharjah FC

1.15

Sharjah FC creates 28% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 9 away

0.57

creates per match

1.00

1.29

allows per match

1.22

creates per match

Tractor Sazi

0.57

Sharjah FC

1.00

allows per match

Tractor Sazi

1.29

Sharjah FC

1.22

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tractor Sazi+0.00on par

Sharjah FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under66
Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No59
Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tractor Sazi ↓

Sharjah FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–115%

0–29%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–05%

2–16%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

61%39%2.5

34%66%3.5

15%85%4.5

6%94%

Double chance

Tractor Sazi or draw

59%

Tractor Sazi or Sharjah FC

70%

Draw or Sharjah FC

71%

Winning margin

Tractor Sazi wins by 2+

10%

Sharjah FC wins by 2+

18%

Team goals

Tractor Sazi 1+ goals

59%

Tractor Sazi 2+ goals

23%

Tractor Sazi 3+ goals

6%

Sharjah FC 1+ goals

68%

Sharjah FC 2+ goals

32%

Sharjah FC 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Tractor Sazi (draw refunded)

41%

Sharjah FC (draw refunded)

59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tractor Sazi at home — creates 0.57, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

Sharjah FC away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tractor Sazi attack 0.57 + Sharjah FC defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 0.90

Sharjah FC attack 1.00 + Tractor Sazi defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Tractor Sazi scores more

29%

level

30%

Sharjah FC scores more

41%

Sharjah FC at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Sharjah FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

40

Adel Al-Hosani

Sharjah FC · G

7.7

Match Events

28'

Saman Nariman Jahan

46'

S. Vaesei← A. Dejagah

65'

H. Bouhamdan← A. Imani

66'

M. Ghaderi← S. Nariman Jahan

67'

Saif Rashid← Salem Saleh

78'

A. Razzaghpour← M. Abbaszadeh

87'

Mohammed Khalfan← Khaled Ba Wazir

90+1'

A. Asadi← P. Babaei

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

TractorSharjah

Overview

52%Possession48%

11Total Shots10

6Corners1

8Fouls15

Shots

11Total Shots10

3On Target2

3Off Target7

5Blocked1

6Inside Box8

5Outside Box2

Passing

52%Possession48%

485Total Passes443

406Accurate Passes375

84%Pass Accuracy85%

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

Discipline

8Fouls15

1Yellow Cards0

0Offsides1