Torrent 0–0 Silla: Result & Stats

Torrent

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Silla

9/18/2022

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Group 6 - 2Estadio San Gregorio

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 47+ matches

Torrent52%

×Draw25%

Silla22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TorrentExpected goals in this matchSilla

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.58

0.94

Torrent

1.58

Silla

0.94

Torrent creates 68% more chances

Season form · 47 home / 78 away

1.36

creates per match

1.00

0.87

allows per match

1.79

creates per match

Torrent

1.36

Silla

1.00

allows per match

Torrent

0.87

Silla

1.79

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Torrent+0.00on par

Silla+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Torrent ↓

Silla →

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1–013%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Torrent or draw

78%

Torrent or Silla

75%

Draw or Silla

48%

Winning margin

Torrent wins by 2+

27%

Silla wins by 2+

Team goals

Torrent 1+ goals

79%

Torrent 2+ goals

47%

Torrent 3+ goals

21%

Silla 1+ goals

61%

Silla 2+ goals

24%

Silla 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Torrent (draw refunded)

70%

Silla (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Torrent at home — creates 1.36, concedes 0.87 · 47 matches

Silla away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.79 · 78 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Torrent attack 1.36 + Silla defence 1.79 → ÷2 → 1.58

Silla attack 1.00 + Torrent defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 52%?"

Torrent scores more

52%

level

25%

Silla scores more

22%

Torrent at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Torrent will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

63'

Adrián Gomis← Miguel Nemesio

63'

Álvaro← M. Farisato

69'

Víctor Juliá← Pau Tejón

70'

Y. Kharbouch← Luis García

76'

Lucas Simeón← Rubén Ubach

86'

Guillermo Guillén← Josevi

Torrent

Silla

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Alejandro Esteve

63'▲Adrián Gomis←▼Miguel Nemesio

63'▲Álvaro←▼M. Farisato

70'▲Y. Kharbouch←▼Luis García

Torrent substitutes

GomisÁlvaroKharbouch

Manager: David Sanz

69'▲Víctor Juliá←▼Pau Tejón

76'▲Lucas Simeón←▼Rubén Ubach

86'▲Guillermo Guillén←▼Josevi

Silla substitutes

JuliáSimeónGuillén

Torrent 0 – 0 Silla

Torrent and Silla drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 on September 18, 2022.

The match was played at Estadio San Gregorio in Torrent.

Torrent vs Silla — Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Torrent 0 – 0 Silla