Tigre 0–0 Platense: Result & Stats

Tigre

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Platense

11/3/2024

Liga Profesional Argentina · 2nd Phase - 20Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 12+ matches

Tigre46%

×Draw30%

Platense24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TigreExpected goals in this matchPlatense

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.19

0.76

Tigre

1.19

Platense

0.76

Tigre creates 57% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 18 away

1.13

creates per match

0.72

0.79

allows per match

1.25

creates per match

Tigre

1.13

Platense

0.72

allows per match

Tigre

0.79

Platense

1.25

+0.20scores more than expected

finishing

+0.06on par

finishing

Tigre+0.20scores more

Platense+0.06on par

Total goals

Under69
Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No63
Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tigre ↓

Platense →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–111%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

58%42%2.5

31%69%3.5

13%87%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Tigre or draw

76%

Tigre or Platense

70%

Draw or Platense

54%

Winning margin

Tigre wins by 2+

20%

Platense wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Tigre 1+ goals

70%

Tigre 2+ goals

33%

Tigre 3+ goals

12%

Platense 1+ goals

53%

Platense 2+ goals

18%

Platense 3+ goals

4%

Draw no bet

Tigre (draw refunded)

66%

Platense (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

24%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tigre at home — creates 1.13, concedes 0.79 · 12 matches

Platense away — creates 0.72, concedes 1.25 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tigre attack 1.13 + Platense defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.19

Platense attack 0.72 + Tigre defence 0.79 → ÷2 → 0.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Tigre scores more

46%

level

30%

Platense scores more

24%

Tigre at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Tigre will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6

G. Nardelli

Tigre · D

7.9

Match Events

27'

33'

36'

42'

43'

45+2'

46'

46'

A. Ocampo← Tobías Cervera

60'

E. Ramírez← F. Ferreyra

63'

D. Sarmiento← G. Maroni

64'

R. Martínez← V. Taborda

76'

A. Lotti← M. Pellegrino

81'

S. Medina← N. Banegas

86'

G. Hachen← G. Mainero

90'

Nehuén Paz

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

TigrePlatense

Overview

66%Possession34%

10Total Shots5

0.65Expected Goals (xG)0.30

7Corners1

15Fouls14

Shots

10Total Shots5

3On Target2

5Off Target0

2Blocked3

10Inside Box4

0Outside Box1

Passing

66%Possession34%

520Total Passes267

423Accurate Passes176

81%Pass Accuracy66%

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

0.36Goals Prevented0.36

Discipline

15Fouls14

4Yellow Cards3