Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Tennessee vs East Atlanta — USL League Two 2026

Tennessee
Tennessee
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
East Atlanta
East Atlanta
6/21/2023USL League TwoUSL League Two · Southern Conference - 10Ravenwood High School soccer filed

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Tennessee48%
×Draw21%
East Atlanta31%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tennessee
2.20
East Atlanta
1.76

Tennessee creates 25% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 15 away

creates per match

Tennessee
1.92
East Atlanta
1.60

allows per match

Tennessee
1.92
East Atlanta
2.47

finishing

Tennessee+0.00on par
East Atlanta+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tennessee ↓

East Atlanta →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

Tennessee or draw
69%
Tennessee or East Atlanta
79%
Draw or East Atlanta
52%

Winning margin

Tennessee wins by 2+
28%
East Atlanta wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Tennessee 1+ goals
89%
Tennessee 2+ goals
64%
Tennessee 3+ goals
37%
East Atlanta 1+ goals
83%
East Atlanta 2+ goals
52%
East Atlanta 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Tennessee (draw refunded)
60%
East Atlanta (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tennessee at home — creates 1.92, concedes 1.92 · 12 matches

East Atlanta away — creates 1.60, concedes 2.47 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tennessee attack 1.92 + East Atlanta defence 2.47 → ÷2 → 2.20

East Atlanta attack 1.60 + Tennessee defence 1.92 → ÷2 → 1.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Tennessee scores more
48%
level
21%
East Atlanta scores more
31%

Tennessee at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Tennessee will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Tennessee vs East Atlanta

East Atlanta beat Tennessee 2-0 in USL League Two on June 21, 2023.

The match was played at Ravenwood High School soccer filed in Brentwood, Tennessee.