Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

TEMPO Partizánske vs Imeľ — 3. liga - West 2020

TEMPO Partizánske
TEMPO Partizánske
FT
0 – 0
Imeľ
Imeľ
10/16/20213. liga - West3. liga - West · West - 11Štadión Karola Jokla

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

TEMPO Partizánske37%
×Draw26%
Imeľ38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

TEMPO Partizánske
1.35
Imeľ
1.37

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 17 home / 25 away

creates per match

TEMPO Partizánske
1.06
Imeľ
0.68

allows per match

TEMPO Partizánske
2.06
Imeľ
1.64

finishing

TEMPO Partizánske+0.00on par
Imeľ+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

TEMPO Partizánske ↓

Imeľ →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

TEMPO Partizánske or draw
62%
TEMPO Partizánske or Imeľ
74%
Draw or Imeľ
63%

Winning margin

TEMPO Partizánske wins by 2+
17%
Imeľ wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

TEMPO Partizánske 1+ goals
74%
TEMPO Partizánske 2+ goals
39%
TEMPO Partizánske 3+ goals
15%
Imeľ 1+ goals
75%
Imeľ 2+ goals
40%
Imeľ 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

TEMPO Partizánske (draw refunded)
49%
Imeľ (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

TEMPO Partizánske at home — creates 1.06, concedes 2.06 · 17 matches

Imeľ away — creates 0.68, concedes 1.64 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

TEMPO Partizánske attack 1.06 + Imeľ defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.35

Imeľ attack 0.68 + TEMPO Partizánske defence 2.06 → ÷2 → 1.37

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

TEMPO Partizánske scores more
37%
level
26%
Imeľ scores more
38%

Imeľ at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Imeľ will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: TEMPO Partizánske vs Imeľ

TEMPO Partizánske and Imeľ drew 0-0 in 3. liga - West on October 16, 2021.

The match was played at Štadión Karola Jokla in Partizánske.