Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Tekstilac Odžaci vs Borac Šajkaš — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Tekstilac Odžaci
Tekstilac Odžaci
FT
2 – 0
Borac Šajkaš
Borac Šajkaš
10/9/2021Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 9Stadion Ivo Lola Ribar

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Tekstilac Odžaci64%
×Draw21%
Borac Šajkaš15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tekstilac Odžaci
1.97
Borac Šajkaš
0.83

Tekstilac Odžaci creates 137% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 60 away

creates per match

Tekstilac Odžaci
2.37
Borac Šajkaš
0.93

allows per match

Tekstilac Odžaci
0.73
Borac Šajkaš
1.57

finishing

Tekstilac Odžaci+0.00on par
Borac Šajkaš+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tekstilac Odžaci ↓

Borac Šajkaš →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Tekstilac Odžaci or draw
85%
Tekstilac Odžaci or Borac Šajkaš
79%
Draw or Borac Šajkaš
36%

Winning margin

Tekstilac Odžaci wins by 2+
39%
Borac Šajkaš wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Tekstilac Odžaci 1+ goals
86%
Tekstilac Odžaci 2+ goals
58%
Tekstilac Odžaci 3+ goals
31%
Borac Šajkaš 1+ goals
56%
Borac Šajkaš 2+ goals
20%
Borac Šajkaš 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Tekstilac Odžaci (draw refunded)
81%
Borac Šajkaš (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tekstilac Odžaci at home — creates 2.37, concedes 0.73 · 30 matches

Borac Šajkaš away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.57 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tekstilac Odžaci attack 2.37 + Borac Šajkaš defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.97

Borac Šajkaš attack 0.93 + Tekstilac Odžaci defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Tekstilac Odžaci scores more
64%
level
21%
Borac Šajkaš scores more
15%

Tekstilac Odžaci at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Tekstilac Odžaci will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Tekstilac Odžaci vs Borac Šajkaš

Tekstilac Odžaci beat Borac Šajkaš 2-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on October 9, 2021.

The match was played at Stadion Ivo Lola Ribar in Odžaci.