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Tatran Všechovice vs Kostelec na Hané — 4. liga - Divizie E 2019

Tatran Všechovice
Tatran Všechovice
CANC
00:00
Kostelec na Hané
Kostelec na Hané
3/30/20254. liga - Divizie E4. liga - Divizie E · Division E - 19Hrište Všechovice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Tatran Všechovice55%
×Draw21%
Kostelec na Hané24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tatran Všechovice
2.10
Kostelec na Hané
1.34

Tatran Všechovice creates 57% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 15 away

creates per match

Tatran Všechovice
2.07
Kostelec na Hané
0.93

allows per match

Tatran Všechovice
1.76
Kostelec na Hané
2.13

finishing

Tatran Všechovice+0.00on par
Kostelec na Hané+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tatran Všechovice ↓

Kostelec na Hané →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Tatran Všechovice or draw
76%
Tatran Všechovice or Kostelec na Hané
79%
Draw or Kostelec na Hané
45%

Winning margin

Tatran Všechovice wins by 2+
33%
Kostelec na Hané wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Tatran Všechovice 1+ goals
88%
Tatran Všechovice 2+ goals
62%
Tatran Všechovice 3+ goals
35%
Kostelec na Hané 1+ goals
74%
Kostelec na Hané 2+ goals
39%
Kostelec na Hané 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Tatran Všechovice (draw refunded)
69%
Kostelec na Hané (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tatran Všechovice at home — creates 2.07, concedes 1.76 · 82 matches

Kostelec na Hané away — creates 0.93, concedes 2.13 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tatran Všechovice attack 2.07 + Kostelec na Hané defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 2.10

Kostelec na Hané attack 0.93 + Tatran Všechovice defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Tatran Všechovice scores more
55%
level
21%
Kostelec na Hané scores more
24%

Tatran Všechovice at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Tatran Všechovice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Tatran Všechovice host Kostelec na Hané

March 30, 2025: Tatran Všechovice take on Kostelec na Hané in 4. liga - Divizie E. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Tatran Všechovice host Kostelec na Hané at Hrište Všechovice.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.