Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Tatran Prešov vs Lipany — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Tatran Prešov
Tatran Prešov
FT
3 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Lipany
Lipany
1/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Tatran Prešov73%
×Draw16%
Lipany11%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tatran Prešov
2.55
Lipany
0.90

Tatran Prešov creates 183% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 4 away

creates per match

Tatran Prešov
2.60
Lipany
1.00

allows per match

Tatran Prešov
0.80
Lipany
2.50

finishing

Tatran Prešov+0.00on par
Lipany+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tatran Prešov ↓

Lipany →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–17%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Tatran Prešov or draw
89%
Tatran Prešov or Lipany
84%
Draw or Lipany
27%

Winning margin

Tatran Prešov wins by 2+
51%
Lipany wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Tatran Prešov 1+ goals
92%
Tatran Prešov 2+ goals
72%
Tatran Prešov 3+ goals
46%
Lipany 1+ goals
59%
Lipany 2+ goals
23%
Lipany 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Tatran Prešov (draw refunded)
87%
Lipany (draw refunded)
13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tatran Prešov at home — creates 2.60, concedes 0.80 · 5 matches

Lipany away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tatran Prešov attack 2.60 + Lipany defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.55

Lipany attack 1.00 + Tatran Prešov defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 73%?"

Tatran Prešov scores more
73%
level
16%
Lipany scores more
11%

Tatran Prešov at 73% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 73% does not mean "Tatran Prešov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Tatran Prešov 3–0 Lipany

Tatran Prešov beat Lipany 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 20, 2024.