Tatran Prešov 2–0 Dukla Banská Bystrica

Tatran Prešov

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Dukla Banská Bystrica

P. Juritka 90'

A. Ukhan 87'

1/24/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Tatran Prešov68%

×Draw18%

Dukla Banská Bystrica14%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tatran PrešovExpected goals in this matchDukla Banská Bystrica

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.42

1.02

Tatran Prešov

2.42

Dukla Banská Bystrica

1.02

Tatran Prešov creates 137% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 19 away

2.78

creates per match

1.05

1.00

allows per match

2.05

creates per match

Tatran Prešov

2.78

Dukla Banská Bystrica

1.05

allows per match

Tatran Prešov

1.00

Dukla Banská Bystrica

2.05

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tatran Prešov+0.00on par

Dukla Banská Bystrica+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tatran Prešov ↓

Dukla Banská Bystrica →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–18%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–18%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–15%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Tatran Prešov or draw

86%

Tatran Prešov or Dukla Banská Bystrica

82%

Draw or Dukla Banská Bystrica

32%

Winning margin

Tatran Prešov wins by 2+

45%

Dukla Banská Bystrica wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Tatran Prešov 1+ goals

91%

Tatran Prešov 2+ goals

69%

Tatran Prešov 3+ goals

43%

Dukla Banská Bystrica 1+ goals

64%

Dukla Banská Bystrica 2+ goals

27%

Dukla Banská Bystrica 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Tatran Prešov (draw refunded)

83%

Dukla Banská Bystrica (draw refunded)

17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tatran Prešov at home — creates 2.78, concedes 1.00 · 9 matches

Dukla Banská Bystrica away — creates 1.05, concedes 2.05 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tatran Prešov attack 2.78 + Dukla Banská Bystrica defence 2.05 → ÷2 → 2.42

Dukla Banská Bystrica attack 1.05 + Tatran Prešov defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Tatran Prešov scores more

68%

level

18%

Dukla Banská Bystrica scores more

14%

Tatran Prešov at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Tatran Prešov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

L. Sagna← A. Masaryk

62'

I. Revenco← J. Kotula

62'

A. Ukhan← D. Simon

62'

S. Tatolna← M. Romling

62'

P. Juritka← M. Regali

87'

A. Ukhan

90'

P. Juritka

Tatran

Dukla

28

13

41

77

14

6

7

29

20

16

8

1

28

▼

22

55

3

33

▼

Romling

4

Simko

5

Begala

29

▼

Simon

97

▼

Masaryk

9

▼

Regali

Manager: Vladimir Cifranic

46'▲L. Sagna←▼A. Masaryk

62'▲I. Revenco←▼J. Kotula

62'▲A. Ukhan←▼D. Simon

62'▲S. Tatolna←▼M. Romling

62'▲P. Juritka←▼M. Regali

Tatran Prešov substitutes

91BajzaTerpak2Revenco23Krasniqi20Ukhan17Tatolna80Sagna77JuritkaGriger

Manager: Juraj Jarabek

Dukla Banská Bystrica substitutes

31Hrosso17Kajsin19Pindura9Slebodnik27Reiter15Gerec23Jankelic

Friendlies Clubs: Tatran Prešov 2–0 Dukla Banská Bystrica

Tatran Prešov beat Dukla Banská Bystrica 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 24, 2026.

Goals: A. Ukhan (87'), P. Juritka (90').

Tatran Prešov vs Dukla Banská Bystrica — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Tatran Prešov 2–0 Dukla Banská Bystrica