Tarazona 0–0 Cornellà: Result & Stats

Tarazona

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Cornellà

2/10/2024

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 23Estadio Municipal de Tarazona

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Tarazona50%

×Draw30%

Cornellà20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

TarazonaExpected goals in this matchCornellà

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.21

0.65

Tarazona

1.21

Cornellà

0.65

Tarazona creates 86% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 19 away

1.00

creates per match

0.68

0.61

allows per match

1.42

creates per match

Tarazona

1.00

Cornellà

0.68

allows per match

Tarazona

0.61

Cornellà

1.42

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Tarazona+0.00on par

Cornellà+0.00on par

Total goals

Under71
Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No66
Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tarazona ↓

Cornellà →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–016%

0–110%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–019%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–17%

2–22%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

84%16%1.5

55%45%2.5

29%71%3.5

12%88%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Tarazona or draw

80%

Tarazona or Cornellà

70%

Draw or Cornellà

50%

Winning margin

Tarazona wins by 2+

22%

Cornellà wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Tarazona 1+ goals

70%

Tarazona 2+ goals

34%

Tarazona 3+ goals

12%

Cornellà 1+ goals

48%

Cornellà 2+ goals

14%

Cornellà 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Tarazona (draw refunded)

71%

Cornellà (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

21%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tarazona at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.61 · 38 matches

Cornellà away — creates 0.68, concedes 1.42 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tarazona attack 1.00 + Cornellà defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.21

Cornellà attack 0.68 + Tarazona defence 0.61 → ÷2 → 0.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Tarazona scores more

50%

level

30%

Cornellà scores more

20%

Tarazona at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Tarazona will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

57'

J. Carlos

63'

Andreu Guiu← Carlos Javier

63'

B. Keita← Liberto Beltrán

70'

Canario← Gonpi

70'

Luisao Macías← Marc Tenas

71'

Canario

77'

Ramón Bueno← Dani Pichín

77'

Fer Cano← Álex Gil

85'

M. Errahaly← J. Gnali

89'

D. Cubillas

90+4'

D. Cubillas

90+4'

D. Cubillas

Tarazona

Cornellà

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Molo

63'▲Andreu Guiu←▼Carlos Javier

63'▲B. Keita←▼Liberto Beltrán

77'▲Ramón Bueno←▼Dani Pichín

77'▲Fer Cano←▼Álex Gil

85'▲M. Errahaly←▼J. Gnali

Tarazona substitutes

GuiuKeitaBuenoCanoErrahalyAmoahAresoBalloDiesteAlonsoRamírezMencía

Manager: Gonzalo Riutort

70'▲Canario←▼Gonpi

70'▲Luisao Macías←▼Marc Tenas

Cornellà substitutes

CanarioMacíasVilaplanaSomaSimónMeikherSutherland

Primera División RFEF - Group 1: Tarazona 0–0 Cornellà

Tarazona and Cornellà drew 0-0 in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on February 10, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Municipal de Tarazona in Tarazona.

Tarazona vs Cornellà — Primera División RFEF - Group 1 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Primera División RFEF - Group 1: Tarazona 0–0 Cornellà