Scoreo

Talleres Remedios vs Racing CordobaPrimera Nacional 2026

5/7/2024Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional · Round 14Estadio Pablo Comelli

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 36+ matches

Talleres Remedios40%
×Draw30%
Racing Cordoba29%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Talleres Remedios
1.12
Racing Cordoba
0.91

Talleres Remedios creates 23% more chances

Season form · 36 home / 65 away

creates per match

Talleres Remedios
0.75
Racing Cordoba
0.85

allows per match

Talleres Remedios
0.97
Racing Cordoba
1.49

finishing

Talleres Remedios+0.00on par
Racing Cordoba+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Talleres Remedios

Racing Cordoba
0
1
2
3
4
0
0013%
0112%
025%
032%
040%
1
1015%
1113%
126%
132%
140%
2
208%
217%
223%
231%
240%
3
303%
313%
321%
330%
340%
4
401%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Talleres Remedios or draw
71%
Talleres Remedios or Racing Cordoba
70%
Draw or Racing Cordoba
60%

Winning margin

Talleres Remedios wins by 2+
17%
Racing Cordoba wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Talleres Remedios 1+ goals
67%
Talleres Remedios 2+ goals
31%
Talleres Remedios 3+ goals
10%
Racing Cordoba 1+ goals
60%
Racing Cordoba 2+ goals
23%
Racing Cordoba 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Talleres Remedios (draw refunded)
58%
Racing Cordoba (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Talleres Remedios at homecreates 0.75, concedes 0.97 · 36 matches

Racing Cordoba awaycreates 0.85, concedes 1.49 · 65 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Talleres Remedios attack 0.75 + Racing Cordoba defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.12

Racing Cordoba attack 0.85 + Talleres Remedios defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Talleres Remedios scores more
40%
level
30%
Racing Cordoba scores more
29%

Talleres Remedios at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Talleres Remedios will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Talleres
Racing
M. Marrone
Manager: M. Marrone
65'S. BenegaA. Campana
75'R. CaoT. Asprea
75'S. GallardoN. Molina
75'D. GuzmánF. Enrique
90+2'M. RogoskiA. Benítez
D. Cochas
Manager: D. Cochas
58'B. NastaS. Marfort
58'D. GarcíaA. Olinick
67'M. PardoL. Geminiani
85'R. LópezN. Sánchez
85'F. CuruchetA. Oyola

Primera Nacional: Talleres Remedios 0–0 Racing Cordoba

Talleres Remedios and Racing Cordoba drew 0-0 in Primera Nacional on May 7, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Pablo Comelli in Remedios Escalada, Provincia de Buenos Aires.