Scoreo

Racing Cordoba vs Talleres RemediosPrimera Nacional 2026

9/24/2024Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional · Round 33Estadio Miguel Sancho

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 36+ matches

Racing Cordoba53%
×Draw29%
Talleres Remedios18%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Racing Cordoba
1.31
Talleres Remedios
0.64

Racing Cordoba creates 105% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 36 away

creates per match

Racing Cordoba
1.35
Talleres Remedios
0.44

allows per match

Racing Cordoba
0.84
Talleres Remedios
1.28

finishing

Racing Cordoba+0.00on par
Talleres Remedios+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Racing Cordoba

Talleres Remedios
0
1
2
3
4
0
0014%
019%
023%
031%
040%
1
1019%
1112%
124%
131%
140%
2
2012%
218%
223%
231%
240%
3
305%
313%
321%
330%
340%
4
402%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Racing Cordoba or draw
82%
Racing Cordoba or Talleres Remedios
71%
Draw or Talleres Remedios
47%

Winning margin

Racing Cordoba wins by 2+
25%
Talleres Remedios wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Racing Cordoba 1+ goals
73%
Racing Cordoba 2+ goals
38%
Racing Cordoba 3+ goals
14%
Talleres Remedios 1+ goals
47%
Talleres Remedios 2+ goals
14%
Talleres Remedios 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Racing Cordoba (draw refunded)
74%
Talleres Remedios (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Racing Cordoba at homecreates 1.35, concedes 0.84 · 63 matches

Talleres Remedios awaycreates 0.44, concedes 1.28 · 36 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Racing Cordoba attack 1.35 + Talleres Remedios defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.31

Talleres Remedios attack 0.44 + Racing Cordoba defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 0.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Racing Cordoba scores more
53%
level
29%
Talleres Remedios scores more
18%

Racing Cordoba at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Racing Cordoba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Racing
Talleres
D. Cochas
Manager: D. Cochas
62'J. BaykN. Sánchez
62'S. MarfortF. Curuchet
79'J. MéndezG. Díaz
79'G. RostagnoA. Olinick
85'A. OyolaF. González
M. Gómez
Manager: M. Gómez
38'S. NelleS. Gallardo
46'D. NakacheG. Rivero
46'S. BenegaF. Duré
71'N. PalmieriJ. Denis
78'N. MolinaF. Pulicastro

Racing Cordoba 1 – 1 Talleres Remedios

Racing Cordoba and Talleres Remedios drew 1-1 in Primera Nacional on September 24, 2024.

Goals: N. Monserrat (3'), F. Ghiggia (39').

The match was played at Estadio Miguel Sancho in Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba.